Padres vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2023

Padres at Twins

5:10 pm • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

39-36

3 - 5

Minnesota Twins

37-41

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.43	8-6
Y.Darvish			4.56	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 39-36	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins 37-41	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 11, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

Over 8.5-107

POD COLLAB WITH @jakevgroup_

Under 8.5-110

Darvish 3.14 xERA, Ober 3.00 (both higher SIERAs, but estimators averaging below four) - MIN 109/95/51 wRC+ Hm/vRHP/L7 days, SDP 82/91/85 - SDP 3rd best def (8 Runs Prevented)

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-105

$1.00

Y.Darvish o18.5 Outs+150

0.5u

SD -130

Under 4.5 (F5)-132

B.Ober o4.5 Ks-138

0.72u

Over 8.5-110

1.1u

MIN +115

0.58u

Bet to +110

SD -125

$1.25

SD -130

$1.00

SD -125

0.5u

SD -120

Over 8-112

1.12u

Under 8.5-114

Project 6.9; Neither lineup over 100 wRC+ v righties. Each lineup greater than 25% K rate

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The Padres are 23-25 (.479) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 20-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Twins' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	41-37	21-18	20-19	11-12	30-24
Padres	40-35	20-18	20-17	16-17	24-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	47-26-5	20-15-4	27-11-1	12-10-1	34-16-4
Padres	33-41-1	16-21-1	17-20	13-19-1	20-22

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	37-41	20-19	17-22	12-11	25-29
Padres	39-36	19-19	20-17	18-15	21-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	SD	W 4-3	-	-	-
May 9th	SD	L 1-6	-	-	-
May 7th	@CLE	L 0-2	-	-	-
May 6th	@CLE	L 3-4	-	-	-
May 5th	@CLE	W 2-0	-	-	-

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	80	6	7	2
RB.Honeywell, P	15	0.2	0	3
RS.Wilson, P	12	0.1	1	0
LT.Cosgrove, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-3	1	1	1
2J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Soto, LF	2-3	0	0	1
4A. Engel, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4A. Engel, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7H.Kim, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Carpenter, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
9A.Nola, C	0-3	0	0	0
9N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	96	6	6	3
RE.Pagan, P	12	1	1	0
RB.Stewart, P	28	1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0	1
2M.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0	0
2M.Taylor, CF	0-0	1	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	2
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Solano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
8J.Gallo, LF	2-3	1	0	1
8J.Gallo, RF	2-3	1	0	1
9R.Jeffers, C	0-2	1	0	0