Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-18

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

16-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C. Kluber			7.04	3-6
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 11-18	+1.5-152	o8.5-120	+129
Red Sox 16-14	-1.5+128	u8.5-104	-152

Wednesday 5:35 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

PIT +130

Under 8.5-105

PIT +129

0.65u

PIT +135

0.68u

too much cheddar here

Under 9+100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

PIT +125

1.25u

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Apr 5, 2023 UTC
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The Red Sox are 31-34 (.477) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Pirates are just 53-8 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Red Sox are just 27-49 (.355) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

51% of fastball strikeouts for Rafael Devers were located out of the zone last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 46% of Mitch Keller fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 36% (188/519) against Corey Kluber in 2022 -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents batted .356 (47-for-132) against Corey Kluber with runners in scoring position in 2022 -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 -- fourth Percentile.

Mitch Keller allowed an OBP of .406 (160 PA's) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .296 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (53/154) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2021 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 10-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Red Sox' 14 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	16-15	6-8	10-7	12-12	4-3
Pirates	12-18	6-8	6-10	4-7	8-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	15-15-1	6-7-1	9-8	11-12-1	4-3
Pirates	13-15-2	8-5-1	5-10-1	5-6	8-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	17-14	8-6	9-8	14-10	3-4
Pirates	11-19	6-8	5-11	5-6	6-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -153
Apr 3rd	PIT	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	PIT -154
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -140
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -156
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Lucas Giolito
SP
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	107	7	7	1
LR.Zastryzny, P	8	1	1	0
RD. Underwood, P	5	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
1C.Joe, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	1	0	1
3A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
6J.Suwinski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Kluber, P	67	5	2	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	1	2	1
RK.Ort, P	29	1	1	2
LR. Bleier, P	19	1	0	0
RZ.Kelly, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-3	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	1-4	1	0
6C. Arroyo, 2B	2-3	0	1
7R. Tapia, CF	1-3	0	0
8Y. Chang, SS	0-2	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	0-1	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-1	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0
9E.Hernandez, SS	0-1	0	0