Red Sox vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Red Sox at Braves

11:15 pm • BravesVsn

Boston Red Sox

27-37

3 - 2

Atlanta Braves

45-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			2.66	5-3
P.Tolle			2.28	3-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 27-37	+1.5	-1.5+170	o7.5-115	+100
Braves 45-21	u7.5	+1.5-205	u7.5-105	-120

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 16, 2026

Truist ParkAtlanta

BOS +120 (Live)

1.2u

Pre Game Line Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Payton Tolle gives Boston a real dog path with a 0.88 WHIP through 22.2 innings. Bryce Elder's 1.81 ERA is strong, but 20 walks in 54.2 innings leave a traffic lane. Atlanta is 5-5 over its last 10, same as Boston, and the price is leaning harder on the standings than the matchup.

BOS +102

1.02u

BOS +107

1.07u

BOS +100

ATL -113

BOS +127

1.27u

BOS u3.5-120

B.Elder o5.5 Ks+136

0.45u

#EV 4.92%

Under 8-109

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (+100)

BOS +125

0.63u

Bet to +105

BOS +125

1.25u

(B365) Saturday's slate breakdown (Play to +105)

Under 8-110

0.91u

(B365) Saturday's slate breakdown. (Bet to 7.5 -even)

Over 8-110

0.55u

The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday
Matt Trollo•
May 16, 2026 UTC
Trollo's 2 Bets for Red Sox vs Braves
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May 16, 2026 UTC
Super-Strong Sharp Action Saturday
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 23-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Braves' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	41-25	18-15	23-10	33-18	8-7
Red Sox	26-38	10-21	16-17	15-25	10-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	32-30-4	11-20-2	21-10-2	27-21-3	5-9-1
Red Sox	28-33-3	10-19-2	18-14-1	17-21-2	11-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	45-21	22-11	23-10	37-14	8-7
Red Sox	27-37	10-21	17-16	17-23	9-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	BOS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL -149
May 14th	CHC	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -200
May 13th	CHC	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL +114
May 12th	CHC	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -122
May 10th	@LAD	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL +118

Tanner Houck
P
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
IF
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
IF
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Joey Wentz
P
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
P
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
P
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
P
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Tolle, P		85	8	3	2
LA.Chapman, P		20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Gasper, C	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	2-4	1	0	0
4W.Contreras, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-3	0	0	1
6C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Mayer, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Monasterio, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Durbin, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P		103	8	3	3
LM.Perez, P		14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Baldwin, DH	2-3	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Dubon, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7H.Kim, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8S.Leon, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Azocar, RF	2-3	1	0	0