Rockies vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2023

Rockies at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Colorado Rockies

0-0

6 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7
A.Gomber			5.50	9-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-125	o8-110	+170
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+105	u8-110	-200

Monday 10:10 p.m.

April 24, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+110

C.Quantrill u4.5 Ks+102

$1.02

Under 8.5-110

$0.91

CLE -184 (F5)

$1.00

CLE -0.5 (F5)-135

$100.00

C.Quantrill u4.5 Ks+102

1.02u

Always have to be careful betting on the Rockies to go under a K prop on the road (their K rate is always going to be much higher away from Coors), but even after factoring that in I’m still showing a ton of value on the under. Quantrill has stayed under this number in all 4 starts thanks to a laughable 5.7% swinging strike rate. He seems to be going all-in as an extreme contact pitcher by throwing his sinker at a higher rate (in place of his cutter) this year. Projecting this closer to -150

Under 8-114

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

C.Blackmon o0.5 Total Bases-178

0.89u

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-101)

CLE -184 (F5)

0.92u

Bet to -192

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The Guardians are 20-19 (.513) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Rockies are just 42-24 (.636) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Jose Ramirez has struck out in just 11% of PA's this season -- tied for 11th lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 14% this season -- tied for 12th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is slugging .509 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Austin Gomber has allowed a SLG of .553 vs right-handed batters since last season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP-- first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (40 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low fastballs since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .428 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (26/171) against Cal Quantrill this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .479 (23-for-48) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .275 -- 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- third Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Rockies	66-96	34-47	32-49	3-2	63-94

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Rockies	71-85-6	39-38-4	32-47-2	3-2	68-83-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Rockies	43-119	25-56	18-63	2-3	41-116

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -124
Apr 23rd	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -140
Apr 22nd	MIA	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -137
Apr 19th	@DET	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -142
Apr 18th	@DET	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -134

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out
Tyler Freeman
RF
Tyler Freeman scratched Tuesday.
Out
Brenton Doyle
CF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Gomber, P	83	5	3
RJ.Bird, P	15	2	1
RP.Johnson, P	16	1	1
RJ.Lawrence, P	5	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-5	1	1	3
3K.Bryant, RF	2-4	0	0	0
4C. Cron, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5E.Diaz, C	1-4	1	0	0
6M. Moustakas, 3B	3-4	2	0	0
7A.Trejo, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8B.Doyle, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9E.Tovar, SS	1-4	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	80	3.1	2	5
RN.Sandlin, P	6	0.2	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	31	1.2	2	1
RX.Curry, P	52	3.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-4	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Gonzalez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M. Viloria, C	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	0	0	0