Royals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Royals at Mets

11:10 pm • BSKC

Kansas City Royals

0-0

1 - 6

New York Mets

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
M.Wacha			3.35	13-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-180	o8.5-115	+120
Mets 0-0	u8	-1.5+150	u8.5-105	-142

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 12, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

KC +120

B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-115

1.15u

KC +116 (F5)

0.5u

Under 8.5-105

$28.57

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-145

F.Lindor u0.5 Hits+140

Not a good player

Over 8-110

0.55u

Bet to 8.5 (-101)

NYM -120

0.83u

FanDuel 10:33 Thursday.

NYM -115

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -141

NYM -125 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -145

Featured Insight
Royals won 65% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- second best in MLB. Mets won just 46% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- eighth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Royals have answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are just 17-13 (.567) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Royals are just 23-30 (.434) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .613.

The Mets are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Mets are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Bobby Witt Jr. had an OPS of .712 with two strikes last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Luis Severino allowed an OPS of .702 (230 PAs) with two strikes last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 75% (9/12) against Luis Severino -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% -- 99th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (10 Total Bases / 40 ABs) this season -- 7th best among in AL; League Avg: .360 -- 88th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (13/33) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21
Royals	82-80	38-43	44-37	32-38	49-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25
Royals	71-90-1	31-50	40-40-1	30-40	41-47-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28
Royals	82-80	43-38	39-42	40-30	40-49

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 11th	@ATL	W 16-4	+1.5 W	O 10	NYM +140
Apr 9th	@ATL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL +156
Apr 8th	@ATL	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 10	NYM +191
Apr 7th	@CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -120
Apr 6th	@CIN	L 6-9	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN +105

Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	84	6	4	5
RJ. Lyles, P	8	1	0	0
LW.Smith, P	21	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Velazquez, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	90	5	4	1
LJ.Diekman, P	13	0.2	1	0
RR.Garrett, P	15	1.1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-3	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5B.Baty, 3B	2-4	1	0	2
6F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	3-4	0	0	1
8D.Stewart, DH	1-3	0	0	1
8T.Taylor, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, DH	1-1	0	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	2-4	1	0	0