Tigers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2025

Tigers at Pirates

4:35 pm • FDSDET

Detroit Tigers

60-44

1 - 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

42-61

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			3.82	7-5
T.Melton			10.80	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 60-44	-1.5	-1.5+120	o9-103	-139
Pirates 42-61	u8.5	+1.5-144	u9-114	+116

Wednesday 4:35 p.m.

July 23, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 9-115

Getaway Day Unders Overall: 178-97-7,65% (ROI:25%) Season:15-2-0,88% (ROI:69%)

DET -135

1.35u

Desperate Favorites in Game 3 (***) Overall: 190-97-0,66% (ROI:20%) Season:15-12-0,56% (ROI:-3%) Slump-Proof Favorites Overall: 93-25-0,79% (ROI:34%) Season:6-2-0,75% (ROI:22%)

DET -129

1.29u

PIT +120

1.2u

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DET -135

0.68u

Your view of this bet likely comes down to how much you trust Tigers rookie Troy Melton. Melton will be making his MLB debut in a spot start for the dad-to-be Tarik Skubal. Melton's minor league numbers have been dominant: a 32.4% K% across Double-A and Triple-A this season, 101 strikeouts in just 75.1 innings, and a 7% or lower walk rate at every level. Projection systems have Melton closer to a 4.00 to 4.50 ERA major league player as opposed to the 2.99 ERA he's had this year in the minors, which makes sense. We don't know what we'll get from him today, but I'll back him against a Pirates offense that is averaging just 3.37 runs per game this season, lowest in the majors. Yes, they did explode for 8 runs yesterday and are a win away from sweeping the series. I have both bullpens graded similarly and the Tigers' offense projected for about half a run higher against Bailey Falter than the Pirates' offense, so I'll back Detroit to avoid the sweep.

DET -135

Mid Tier Road Favorites 157-76 (67%) 19% ROI 18-5 (78%) 39% ROI Tigers As Favorites vs NL 113-55 (67.2%) 15.31% ROI 8-3 (72.7%) in 2025

PIT +130

0.65u

Bet to +123

Over 8.5-108

0.54u

Bet to -115

Tigers vs Pirates: Early Over/Under Bet for Wednesday
Action Network Staff•
Jul 23, 2025 UTC
Zerillo's Opening Pitch For Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 23, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 23-27 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Pirates' 53 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	53-50	30-23	23-27	10-20	41-30
Tigers	51-53	29-22	22-31	36-35	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	40-58-5	23-27-3	17-31-2	11-19	28-38-5
Tigers	52-48-4	22-26-3	30-22-1	36-32-3	15-15-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	42-61	29-24	13-37	13-17	28-43
Tigers	60-44	32-19	28-25	46-25	14-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 22nd	DET	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 8	PIT +114
Jul 21st	DET	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7	PIT -135
Jul 20th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CWS -143
Jul 19th	CWS	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 8	CWS -138
Jul 18th	CWS	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -156

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
T.Melton, P	90	5	7	6
RC.Lee, P	28	2	3	0
RC.Hernandez, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0
2J.Jones, DH	0-3	0	0
2C.Keith, PH	1-1	0	0
3W.Perez, RF	1-4	0	0
4S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	1	0
5M.Vierling, LF	1-4	0	1
6Z.McKinstry, 3B	1-3	0	0
7D.Dingler, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	0-3	0	0
9P.Meadows, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P		87	7	8	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P		34	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 1B	1-4	1	1	4
2A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3B.Reynolds, RF	2-4	1	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
5O.Cruz, CF	2-3	1	0	1
6T.Pham, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Bart, C	0-2	1	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-3	0	0	0