Athletics vs Orioles Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, August 8

Athletics vs Orioles Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, August 8 article feature image
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Photo by Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images. Pictured: J.T. Ginn

The Baltimore Orioles host the Athletics on August 8, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MASN.

After taking the series against the Nationals in Washington, the A's hope to continue their successful road trip in Baltimore. J.T. Ginn will open the series for them against the Orioles' Tomoyuki Sugano.

Find my MLB betting preview and Athletics vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Athletics vs Orioles Prediction

  • Athletics vs Orioles pick: Under 10 (-113)

My Athletics vs Orioles best bet is Under 10 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Athletics vs Orioles Odds

Athletics Logo
Friday, Aug 8
7:05 p.m. ET
MASN
Orioles Logo
Athletics Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+139
10
-107o / -113u
-108
Orioles Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-170
10
-107o / -113u
-112
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Athletics vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP J.T. Ginn (ATH)StatRHP Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL)
2-3W-L8-5
0.2fWAR (FanGraphs)0.4
4.28 / 3.56ERA / xERA4.42 / 5.85
4.89 / 3.51FIP / xFIP5.07 / 4.64
1.26WHIP1.32
16.7K-BB%9.6
53.7GB%40.5
99Stuff+92
108Location+104

Athletics vs Orioles Preview

The Orioles started cold this month. They have scored more than three runs in a game just once and have produced a total of 11 runs in six games so far.

No wonder Baltimore ranks next to last in wRC+ in August with a 51 rating. They are also dead last in slugging (.297) and average (.193) this month.

Tonight, they will face A's starter J.T. Ginn, who has a 3.00 ERA across his last seven outings and holds an excellent 2.82 away ERA compared to his 5.54 ERA at home.

In his last two starts on the road, Ginn has only given up one run in 11 complete innings.

If Tomoyuki Sugano can slow down the Athletics offense, there is good value in going with the under with the total line at 10, especially considering weather conditions.

Our Bet Labs system points to these environmental factors to recommend the under tonight.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Public Fades Humidity = Unders
the average humidity is between 45% and 95%
the home team's 5 Game over percentage is between 0% and 40%
the temperature is between 54 and 97 degrees
the wind direction is From Right or Left To Right or From Left or Right To Left or In or None
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 0
the over/under % is between 6% and 29%
the game was played during the 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2020 season
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
$8,161
WON
295-193-19
RECORD
60%
WIN%

This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity —ranging from 45 to 95— intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.

Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.

In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.

The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29.

These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.

Pick: Under 10 (-113, DraftKings)


Athletics vs Orioles Betting Trends


Athletics vs Orioles Weather


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