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Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Saturday, April 4

Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Saturday, April 4 article feature image
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Mar 31, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks right fielder Corbin Carroll (7) reacts after hitting a two run double against the Detroit Tigers in the eighth inning at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Atlanta Braves on April 4, 2026. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on FOX.

The Diamondbacks are favored by -108 on the moneyline and by +1.5 (-178) on the run line. The Braves are -108 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+150) on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs (-108 / -112).

Find my MLB picks and Braves vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Braves vs Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML

My Braves vs Diamondbacks best bet is on the Diamondbacks Moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Braves vs Diamondbacks Odds

Braves Logo
Saturday, Apr 4
7:15 p.m. ET
FOX
Diamondbacks Logo
Braves Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+150
9.5
-108o / -112u
-108
Diamondbacks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-178
9.5
-108o / -112u
-108
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Braves vs Diamondbacks spread: Braves -1.5 (+150), Diamondbacks +1.5 (-178)
  • Braves vs Diamondbacks over/under: 9.5 (-108 / -112)
  • Braves vs Diamondbacks moneyline: Braves -108, Diamondbacks -108

Braves vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers

Bryce Elder (RHP)StatMichael Soroka (RHP)
1-0W-L1-0
0.2fWAR (FanGraphs)0.3
0.00 / 3.07ERA / xERA0.00 / 5.35
2.02 / 3.25FIP / xFIP-0.22 / 0.67
1.00WHIP1.00
17.4%K-BB%45%
41.2%GB%33.3%
86Stuff+92
110Location+116

Braves vs Diamondbacks Preview

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Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves have six wins in their first eight games and the best run differential in baseball (+29). They lead the NL East after a week of games, but will be challenged in a tough division.

They have the offense to win a World Series — even with the loss of Jurickson Profar to another PED suspension — yet their pitching staff continues to take hits.

Spencer Schwellenbach and Hurston Waldrep underwent recent surgeries to clean up their elbows, Joey Wentz tore his ACL, and Spencer Strider ended Spring Training with a strained oblique.

Although they are winning games now, a back-end rotation with Brett Elder and Martin Perez is difficult to rely on. Starting pitcher No. 3 Grant Holmes is holding it down through two starts with just three earned runs allowed.

Holmes threw six clean innings in the Braves' first game of this series, which led to a 2-0 win. However, he is pitching through a partially torn flexor tendon and a partially torn UCL.

The Braves can absolutely continue to win regular-season games, but they will need a midseason trade for starters if their injured reinforcements cannot arrive sooner than later.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks just took another hit with the loss of Jordan Lawlar (wrist) for 6-to-8 weeks. This follows the loss of Pavin Smith (elbow) earlier this week.

Arizona's offense still has its core hitters available at the top of the order, but losing late-lineup punch makes them vulnerable against quality starters.

Their offense ranks in the bottom-10 to start 2026, but should rise to about league average with the talent on hand. Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, Geraldo Perdomo, and Gabriel Moreno are tough outs.

For the Diamondbacks to win, they need the pitching staff to carry them deep into games. The offense can only get them so far, while the bullpen is thin, even with a Paul Sewald bounce-back thus far.

Merrill Kelly is injured, Zac Gallen is still trying to find his pre-2025 form, Ryne Nelson has not taken a jump yet, and Brandon Pfaadt continues struggling. WBC hero Eduardo Rodriguez is at least carrying over his success through 12 innings, with no runs allowed.


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Braves vs Diamondbacks Picks

The big question mark in the Diamondbacks' rotation is Michael Soroka.

The former top prospect, who has since torn his Achilles twice, was masterful in his first start. Soroka pitched five innings, gave up four hits, zero ER, zero walks, and struck out 10 batters.

The only red flag on Soroka's outing was a 5.35 xERA, which indicates significant hard contact. Nevertheless, this was his first start of the season, and there was much more good than bad.

Despite his 4.70 ERA, Michael Soroka had similar success in the first half of 2025. He pitched 59 1/3 innings from March to June, with a 3.23 xERA and 3.88 xFIP. He missed time in April and May due to a biceps strain, but that did not stop him from taking a step in his career.

2025 represented Soroka's best season since his lone full season in 2019 with the Braves. He was transferred to the bullpen after struggling in July and dealt with a shoulder injury later in the year, but there was a significant bright spot.

Meanwhile, Bryce Elder is still Bryce Elder, an innings-eating starter the Braves do not want to start, but have to. Elder's first game of the season went smoothly with zero runs allowed through six innings against the Athletics.

The Athletics' offense is talented, but they are better at home in their bandbox minor league stadium than on the road. Their home wOBA in 2025 was .331, while their away wOBA was .317.

Elder has plateaued as a mediocre pitcher since 2024, even with a one MPH jump in fastball velocity since 2025. He has league-average peripherals in his 4.02 xFIP and 4.25 SIERA from 2024 through 2025, but his xERA is a horrendous 4.77.

Elder will face an easier lineup this week than last week, but luck cannot be on his side every start. Until Ronald Acuna Jr. gets going, the Braves' offense may not be enough to overcome the hole that starters like Elder dig them into.

Pick: Diamondbacks ML

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Kevork MahserejianVerified Action Expert

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