The Miami Marlins host the Atlanta Braves on June 22, 2025. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSO.
Find my MLB betting preview and Braves vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Braves vs Marlins Prediction
- Braves vs Marlins picks: Under 8.5
My Braves vs Marlins best bet is Under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Marlins Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -135 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
Braves vs Marlins Projected Starting Pitchers
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | Stat | Sandy Alcantara (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 3-8 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 4.45/4.78 | ERA /xERA | 6.88/4.78 |
| 4.61/3.70 | FIP / xFIP | 4.86/4.48 |
| 1.27 | WHIP | 1.47 |
| 12.6 | K-BB% | 7.6 |
| 51.9 | GB% | 48.6 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 106 | Location+ | 96 |
Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams' "Public Fades Humidity Unders" system targets this afternoon's series finale.
This MLB betting system uncovers hidden value in totals markets by targeting regular-season games played in elevated humidity (45% to 95%), moderate temperatures, and neutral wind conditions. While many bettors assume humidity leads to more offense, specific ballpark and game environments often show the opposite—lower scoring and sluggish pace.
The edge sharpens when the home team has gone under in recent games, with a five-game over rate below 40%, signaling cold bats and limited offensive rhythm. Market movement supports the under as well, with totals dropping from open to close and only 6% to 29% of bets backing the over.
This combination of weather, public misperception, and subtle market correction creates a reliable setup for identifying profitable under bets in MLB.
This system has crushed, providing a 20% ROI all-time and is hitting at a 61% rate this season.
Pick: Under 8.5
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
This system strongly supports taking the under in this matchup.
