The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Chicago Cubs on August 25, 2026. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.
Find my MLB picks and Cubs vs Diamondbacks prediction below.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Cubs vs Diamondbacks Pick: Under 8.5 (54c, Kalshi)
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Odds
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers
| Clay Holmes (RHP, CHC) | Stat | Brandon Pfaadt (RHP, ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | W-L | 7-1 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 2.49 / 4.05 | ERA / xERA | 3.39 / 3.56 |
| 3.43 / 3.76 | FIP / xFIP | 3.99 / 4.24 |
| 9.7% | K-BB% | 11.2% |
| 59.9% | GB% | 48.0% |
| .245 | BABIP | .261 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 100 | Location+ | 104 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks MLB Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects some value on the Under in this game.
Per BARTOLO, our new PRO baseball betting tool, Zerillo projects just 7.7 runs for this matchup.
These are two underrated starting pitchers. Clay Holmes has been lights out over his past two starts (one earned run across 12 innings). Brandon Pfaadt has a 1.79 ERA since returning from injury at the end of June — including his most recent start against Boston, where he allowed five earned runs despite eight strikeouts and no walks.
While these two bullpens are around league-average (the Cubs are below-average, while the Diamondbacks are above-average), both are fully rested entering this matchup.
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Pick: Under 8.5 (54c, Kalshi)
