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Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions Today: Wrigley Field Wind & Betting System Edge (Friday, August 28)

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions Today: Wrigley Field Wind & Betting System Edge (Friday, August 28) article feature image
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May 19, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; An airline flies by Chicago Cubs flags during the seventh inning of the game against the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images

It’s another classic "Wrigley Wind" day on the North Side.

The weather report is calling for 5-to-7 MPH winds blowing right-to-left across the field for the Cubs' 2:20 PM ET game against the Reds at Wrigley Field.

Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.

Given how strongly the wind affects Wrigley's scoring environment, we could see a lower-scoring ballgame.


Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Kalshi MLB Odds


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Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions Today

As you might know, totals at Wrigley can swing wildly depending on which way the wind is blowing, and Unders are particularly profitable when the wind is blowing either in or across the field.

We have an Action PRO System dedicated to tracking this exact phenomenon — specifically for afternoon games.

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Action PRO System: Wrigley Field Unders

Since 2005, Unders are 225-131-17 in afternoon games at Wrigley Field when the wind is blowing either across the field or in from center (given the total closes above 8 runs).

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Evan Abrams – Wrigley Field Unders, Early Games, Wind Direction
the game is played during the Regular season
the game was played in Wrigley Field
the game was played between 12 and 18
betting on the Under
the closing total is between 8 and 100
the wind direction is From Right or In or From Left or Right To Left or Left to Right
$8,108
WON
225-131-17
RECORD
63%
WIN%
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Premium picks, tools & analysis
Track & follow smart money
Biggest player prop edges
Real-time expert pick alerts

As our own Evan Abrams writes:

This system capitalizes on early-day Wrigley Field games where wind patterns are not conducive to home runs. Wrigley is one of the most wind-sensitive stadiums in MLB, and games played in the afternoon with crosswinds or wind blowing in tend to suppress scoring. When the closing total is moderately high (8+), there's additional value on the under, especially when bettors and bookmakers may not fully adjust for park-specific weather effects.

It might be worth taking a look at the Under for this game, given the conditions.

Pick: Under 8.5 (52c, Kalshi)

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About the Author

Tanner McGrath covers college basketball, college football and Major League Baseball at Action Network. He is a contributor to Payoff Pitch, Action Network’s Major League Baseball betting podcast. He's been working in the space for more than five years with past journalism experience in Canadian collegiate sports, finance and economics. He has an obsession with America East basketball, betting the Miami Marlins and sweating out home underdogs.

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