The Cleveland Guardians host the Cincinnati Reds on on June 11, 2025. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on CLEG.
Find my MLB betting preview and Reds vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Reds vs Guardians Prediction
- Reds vs Guardians picks: Under 8.5
My Reds vs Guardians best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Guardians Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -102 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -118 |
Reds vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | Stat | Logan Allen (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 3-4 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 3.21 / 4.19 | ERA /xERA | 4.42 / 4.69 |
| 3.80 / 3.91 | FIP / xFIP | 4.38 / 5.09 |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 1.58 |
| 16.1 | K-BB% | 5.2 |
| 41.6 | GB% | 43.5 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 100 | Location+ | 93 |
Reds vs Guardians Prediction, Betting Analysis
According to Evan Abrams' "Under After Low-Scoring Game in Series, Short Term" system, the total is in play for this Reds vs. Guardians affair.
This strategy focuses on MLB regular season games in which both teams are coming off quiet offensive outings — scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game, usually within the same series.
These matchups often signal strong pitching or slumping bats, and sportsbooks don’t always adjust the totals quickly enough.
By narrowing it to recent seasons, the system accounts for today’s scoring trends and how pitchers are used. Betting the under in these spots has consistently delivered solid short-term returns.
In fact, this system has a 10.6% ROI and is +$9,238 overall since its inception.
Pick: Under 8.5
Moneyline
There's no official play on the moneyline for this Reds vs. Guardians play, but there is a "Road Dogs Interleague" system lighting up for the Reds to win straight up.
Run Line (Spread)
There's no play on the run line.
Over/Under
The pick for this matchup on Wednesday is under 8.5.
