The Detroit Tigers host the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, June 15, 2025. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Roku.
The Tigers cruised to an easy win on Friday before the Reds returned the favor on Saturday. Wade Miley and Sawyer Gipson-Long get the ball for the Reds and Tigers, respectively, in the rubber match on Father's Day Sunday.
Find my Reds vs Tigers prediction below, as well as Sunday probable pitchers, betting trends and more.
My Reds vs Tigers Prediction
- Reds vs Tigers picks: Tigers -1.5 (play to -110)
My Reds vs Tigers best bet is on the Tigers to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Tigers Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 8.5 -122o / -100u | +146 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +116 | 8.5 -122o / -100u | -174 |
Reds vs Tigers Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Wade Miley (CIN) | Stat | RHP Sawyer Gipson-Long (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 9.00/6.20 | ERA /xERA | 4.32/5.82 |
| 6.50/6.10 | FIP / xFIP | 1.88/3.09 |
| 2.14 | WHIP | 1.08 |
| -5.9 | K-BB% | 21.2 |
| 42.3% | GB% | 30.4 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 80 | Location+ | 110 |
Sean Paul’s Reds vs Tigers Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview: Fade Miley
The Reds will hope the wily-veteran Wade Miley can slow down an elite Tigers offense. The 38-year-old has looked shaky in two outings (one start), allowing seven earned runs and 11 hits. He's also done poorly in the K/BB department, walking four and striking out two batters in seven innings.
He’s a very fade-worthy pitcher, and the Guardians had Miley on the ropes multiple times but tagged him for just three runs. In Detroit, it'll be a different story if Miley fills the bases like he did against Cleveland.
Cincinnati has too much dead weight in its lineup. The only two hitters with an OPS above .800 (league average) are TJ Friedl at .832 and Elly De La Cruz at .824. After that, it's a bunch of hitters who just aren't hitting.
I'm sure the Reds expected more from Spencer Steer and Matt McLain, but both are well below league-average bats.
In Saturday's game, the Reds offense exploded for six runs against Jack Flaherty. He issued four free passes, including a pair in the fifth inning that led to Tyler Stephenson hammering a grand slam.
I wouldn't consider the Reds good at starting rallies, but Flaherty couldn't find the zone. I'd expect a different result if Detroit can stay in the zone and force an inconsistent offense to string hits together.
I'd also expect Miley's leash to be fairly short. This year, he's started one game in the bigs and pitched just 14 minor-league innings. He's still stretching out to a full workload and that could lead a brief outing if Detroit sees him well.
Tigers Betting Preview: Good Matchup Against Lefties
Detroit has regressed offensively in May and June, posting a shaky 93 wRC+ since May 20th, good for 19th in MLB. Over that time, the Tigers have developed a tendency to strike out (25% of the time) while ranking 21st in home runs.
One thing the Tigers have consistently done well is handle left-handed pitching. It’s not a small sample, either; they have the 12th most plate appearances against lefties and boast a dazzling 119 wRC+. Not only does Detroit hit lefties well, but it also hits them hard, ranking seventh in homers and fifth in Isolated power.
Honestly, I’d expect the Tigers to be worse than they are against lefties. Why? Well, Kerry Carpenter is a right masher but doesn’t play against lefties, and Riley Greene, the best hitter in Detroit’s lineup, has a sub .200 average versus lefties.
I’d expect the right-handed bats to do the heavy lifting against Miley. Spencer Torkleson leads the Tigers with a 194 wRC+ versus southpaws, while Gleyber Torres and Dillon Dingler both hammer lefties.
Torres has given the Tigers lineup a nice jolt of late, hitting .333 over his past seven games with a pair of homers in Friday's series opener.
Figuring out which way AJ Hinch wants to deploy his pitching staff is a riddle, and solving it will never happen.
On Tuesday, the Tigers started Tyler Holton for one inning before deploying Brant Hurter for three and Sawyer Gipson-Long for 4 2/3 innings. If Hinch goes with the Holton/Hurter approach here, it would be a brilliant way to contain the Reds offense, which can't hit lefties.
As of now, the Tigers have Gipson-Long tabbed as the starter. That'll give me plenty of reason to expect loads of runs.
In 2025, Gipson-Long has a 4.32 ERA through 8 1/3 innings. The expected numbers aren't pretty either, but Gipson-Long has an encouraging 1.82 FIP and 3.09 xFIP.
Even if Hinch treats him like a normal starter, he'll likely pitch four or five innings before handing the ball to the Tigers elite bullpen. So, if he struggles, it won't be a long outing.
Reds vs Tigers Prediction, Betting Analysis
I'll gladly take plus money here with the Tigers run line.
If Miley comes in with the same stuff he did in his prior two outings, Detroit will blow this one open. And the Reds bullpen isn't very good, ranking 20th in MLB in bullpen ERA, while the Tigers are 12th.
Everything here points in the direction of the home team.
Pick: Tigers -1.5 (play to -110)
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I like the Tigers run line, as mentioned.
Over/Under
I'm not interested in the total for this game.
