The New York Yankees host the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday, June 20. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -194 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line (+113). The Reds are +159 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line (-136). The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather forecast, and more.
Reds vs Yankees Prediction
- Reds vs Yankees Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+122 | Play to +115)
My Reds vs Yankees best bet is Yankees -1.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Yankees Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -136 | 9.5 -108o / -112u | +159 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +113 | 9.5 -108o / -112u | -194 |
- Reds vs Yankees moneyline: Reds +159, Yankees -194
- Reds vs Yankees over/under: 9.5 (-108 /-112)
- Reds vs Yankees spread: Reds +1.5 (-136), Yankees -1.5 (+113)
Reds vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN) | Stat | RHP Will Warren (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 7-1 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 3.95 / 4.78 | ERA / xERA | 3.47 / 3.67 |
| 4.79 / 4.92 | FIP / xFIP | 3.33 / 3.71 |
| 6.4% | K-BB% | 16.7% |
| 39.1% | GB% | 44.2% |
| .273 | BABIP | .310 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 101 | Location+ | 106 |
Reds vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Now is the time to sell high on left-hander Andrew Abbott, who takes the mound for the Reds today. He has gotten away with some poor pitching, something that is unlikely to occur against a lineup as strong as the Yankees'.
This season, Abbott owns a 4.77 xERA and .266 xBA. He also ranks in the bottom third of the league in average exit velocity, strikeout rate and walk rate.
If Abbott struggles as his analytics suggest he will, then Cincinnati is in trouble as run support will be difficult to find.
Entering this matchup, the Reds rank in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, on-base percentage and OPS.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Cincinnati's struggles at the dish are likely to continue against right-hander Will Warren, who gets the ball for the Yankees. Putting together a strong campaign, Warren is 7-1 with a 3.47 ERA through 14 starts.
His underlying metrics are equally impressive. Among pitchers this year, Warren ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, strikeout rate and walk rate.
Entering this game in particularly good form, Warren has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his past four starts. He is 1-0 with a 3.10 ERA over that stretch.
Reds vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
While the pitching advantage goes to the Yankees, there is an even bigger gap in hitting between these two teams.
This season, New York ranks fourth in runs scored per game, sixth in on-base percentage, first in slugging percentage and second in OPS.
The Yankees outrank the Reds in each of those four categories. Furthermore, this current New York roster boasts a .300 batting average and .425 slugging percentage through 46 combined plate appearances against Abbott.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+122 | Play to +115)
