The Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Guardians on August 9, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CLEG.
The Guardians are favored by -109 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Guardians vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction
- Guardians vs White Sox Pick: Joey Cantillo Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+102, FanDuel)
My Guardians vs White Sox best bet is on Joey Cantillo's under strikeouts total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs White Sox Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -180 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -109 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +149 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -105 |
- Guardians vs White Sox moneyline: Guardians -109, White Sox -105
- Guardians vs White Sox over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Guardians vs White Sox spread: Guardians -1.5 (+149), White Sox +1.5 (-180)
Guardians vs White Sox Probable Pitchers
| LHP Joey Cantillo (CLE) | Stat | RHP Davis Martin (CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | W-L | 9-6 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
| 3.87/3.99 | ERA / xERA | 4.13/4.55 |
| 4.02/3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 3.48/3.94 |
| TKTKTK | K-BB% | 13.6% |
| 44.0% | GB% | 42.7% |
| .328 | BABIP | .321 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 97 | Location+ | 95 |
Guardians vs White Sox MLB Betting Preview
The Guardians kicked off the weekend with a convincing 8-2 victory on Friday, but Chicago responded on Saturday to split the series so far.
Cleveland enters Sunday looking to salvage a rubber-match win on the road. The Guardians hand the ball to left-hander Joey Cantillo (8-7, 3.87 ERA).
In Saturday’s 6-3 contest, the White Sox broke open a tight scoreless duel with a five-run sixth-inning surge, powered by a Munetaka Murakami home run and run-producing doubles from Tristan Peters and Chase Meidroth.
Right-hander Davis Martin (9-6, 4.13 ERA) takes the mound for Chicago as both clubs try to take the series advantage.
Guardians vs White Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
PRO Projections highlight value on taking Under 5.5 Strikeouts line for Joey Cantillo on Sunday.
Cantillo’s strikeout upside is regularly capped by his efficiency and workload management. Over his recent starts, he averages around 5.0 innings per outing. The PRO model projects him for approximately 5.15 strikeouts over 5.0 to 5.1 innings of work on Sunday.
Reaching 6 or more strikeouts requires either elevated pitch counts or working deeper into the 6th inning—a mark he has hit infrequently due to elevated pitch counts early in games.
A major component holding Cantillo back from late-inning depth is his control. Carrying a walk rate around 11.0% (~4.2 BB/9), deep counts often inflate his total pitch output per inning.
High pitch-per-plate-appearance numbers force manager Terry Francona’s staff to manage his workload closely and turn to the Cleveland bullpen earlier than expected.
Pick: Joey Cantillo Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+102, FanDuel)
