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Dodgers vs Padres Odds, Picks for Game 4 of NLDS MLB Playoffs

Dodgers vs Padres Odds, Picks for Game 4 of NLDS MLB Playoffs article feature image
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Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Juan Soto and Trea Turner.

Dodgers vs. Padres Game 4 Odds

Dodgers Odds -125
Padres Odds +105
Over/Under 7
Time 9:37 p.m. ET
TV FS1
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

After taking a 2-1 series lead in the NLDS on Friday night, the San Diego Padres look to put the Dodgers away on Saturday. The Dodgers have dominated the Padres all regular season, but the Padres have thrown and landed haymakers in consecutive games. Joe Musgrove looks to deliver the knockout blow on Saturday night.

Tyler Anderson will hope to carry his regular season magic into his first postseason appearance since the 2018 NLDS when he was a member of the Colorado Rockies.

Although the Dodgers won the World Series in the truncated 2020 season, it would be yet another disappointment to fall short of winning a championship following a full season and 111 wins. For the Padres, they may be the beneficiaries of the Dodgers’ disappointing postseason narrative.

Can Anderson’s Success Continue For LA?

Anderson was a revelation for the Dodgers this season. Not only did he post exceptional numbers, but he also made 28 starts for a rotation that struggled with injuries all season.

However, his 2.87 road ERA may be deceptive considering he also posted a 3.43 FIP and a 4.32 xFIP on the road this season. He seems to have benefitted from some luck on the road, but he also had the ninth-best run support for a starter in MLB this season. Those things may not work in his favor in this postseason environment.

While the Dodgers’ offense was able to beat up on Mike Clevinger, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell did well to keep them in check. While they are still a strong road offense, they are going to have their hands full with Musgrove.

Padres Can Clinch Behind Musgrove Again

Musgrove has already delivered a signature moment this postseason when he dominated the New York Mets in the Wild Card Round. Saturday night, he will have the opportunity to add to his legend if he can guide the Padres to victory.

Musgrove had mixed results against the Dodgers this season, but he seemed to have an extra gear in his series-clinching effort in New York. Now he will be able to pitch against a division rival in his home ballpark in his hometown.

While it is tempting to let the narrative get in the way of analysis, Musgrove’s seven innings of one-hit ball spoke volumes about what he’s capable of.

The Padres’ offense has only been around average at home against LHP down the stretch, but their knack for timely hits this postseason is another example of what is occurring on the field bucking overall trends.

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Dodgers-Padres Pick

The Dodgers do hold statistical edges both offensively and in the pitching department in this matchup. However, the Padres only need to win one more game and all of the pressure is on the Dodgers.

Following another dominant regular season, the Dodgers have a very good chance of falling short of their ultimate goal yet again. The Padres’ moneyline is at +105 presently. They have the starting pitching edge on Saturday and this line should be more of a coinflip than it is currently.

Take the Padres to close out the Dodgers and advance to the NLCS.

Pick: SD ML +105 (bet to -110)

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