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Nationals vs Phillies Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Wednesday, August 5

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Wednesday, August 5 article feature image
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Pictured: Washington Nationals designated hitter CJ Abrams. (Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images)

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Washington Nationals on August 5, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NATS.

The Phillies are favored by -163 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +153 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Nationals vs Phillies Prediction

  • Nationals vs Phillies Pick: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 TB & Over 1.5 HRR & Over 0.5 Home Runs

My Nationals vs Phillies best bet is on CJ Abrams to record over his total bases and HRR props and to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Nationals vs Phillies Odds

Nationals Logo
Wednesday, Aug 5
6:40 p.m. ET
NATS
Phillies Logo
Nationals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-143
9.5
-115o / -104u
+153
Phillies Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+119
9.5
-115o / -104u
-163
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Nationals vs Phillies moneyline: Nationals +153, Phillies -163
  • Nationals vs Phillies over/under: 9.5 (-115o / -104u)
  • Nationals vs Phillies spread: Phillies -1.5 (+119), Nationals +1.5 (-143)

Nationals vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

RHP Jake Irvin (WSN)StatRHP Andrew Painter (PHI)
2-5W-L1-8
0.5fWAR (FanGraphs)0.0
5.56/5.57ERA / xERA6.72/5.23
4.67/4.43FIP / xFIP5.45/4.77
14.1%K-BB%9.9%
38.0%GB%38.7%
.280BABIP.330
99Stuff+101
99Location+103

Nationals vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview

The Phillies will host the Nationals on Wednesday in the third of a four-game divisional set at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Jake Irvin will start for Washington, while Andrew Painter will start for Philly.

I’m looking to fade Painter during this rough season, as he’s posted a whopping 6.72 ERA and 1.61 WHIP across 71 innings.

In three previous head-to-head at-bats against Painter, CJ Abrams has recorded a hit, and I expect he’ll find more success on Wednesday.

Abrams has fully broken out. He’s slashing .284/.360/.549 with 28 home runs and an MLB-leading 85 RBIs.

Painter is a four-seam-first pitcher (33% usage), but he’s allowed a whopping .429 xwOBA on the pitch with just an 11% whiff rate.

Meanwhile, Abrams is slugging over .600 against four-seam fastballs.

I’m all in on CJ in this battle.

Pick: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 TB & Over 1.5 HRR & Over 0.5 Home Runs


Nationals vs Phillies Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.


Author Profile
About the Author

Ryan graduated from Providence College in 2016 with Bachelor Degrees in Business Economics & Mathematics. It was at Providence where Ryan really first found his passion for sports betting. For a lifelong sports fan with a knack for statistical analysis, he was instantly drawn to the fundamentals of the industry, specifically how sports betting markets functioned and fluctuated. In what primarily started as a recreational hobby, Ryan began studying the ins-and-outs of sports betting markets on a daily basis. He took to Twitter (now X), where he amassed a following for writing a sports betting blog that provided statistical analysis behind his wagers. In spite of seeking employment opportunities elsewhere post graduation, Ryan continued to follow his passion for the statistical analysis of sports betting wagers, eventually deciding to pursue a career in the sports betting industry.

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