Giants vs. Mets Betting Odds & Picks: Back San Francisco in Monday’s Showdown?
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images. Pictured: Alex Cobb #38 of the San Francisco Giants.
- The San Fransisco Giants and New York Mets meet in a matchup with updated odds making the over/under 7.
- Giants starter Alex Cobb takes the mound against a Mets lineup filled with left-handed hitters.
- Nick Shlain details where to find value in a game oddsmakers expect to be low-scoring.
Editor’s Note: Monday’s Giants-Mets game has been postponed because of inclement weather.
Giants vs. Mets Odds
|Over/Under||7 (-105 / -115)|
|Time||7:10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
If you’re looking for a game with lots of potential run-scoring … you might have to find another game.
With the over/under set at 6.5 this matchup between the New York Mets and San Francisco Giants, this game total is a full run lower than any other game on Monday. This despite the fact the Giants have scored 16 runs in their last three games and that the Mets are tied for third on the season in runs with 46.
Sportsbooks are high on both starting pitchers (Tylor Megill and Alex Cobb) in this one, but how will this one turn out?
Let’s break it all down.
San Francisco Giants
Alex Cobb is making his second start of the year here. Cobb is an interesting case now after cleaning up his delivery at the driveline academy over the offseason.
He struck out 10 batters in five innings in his first start and seems to be a new and improved version of the pitcher he always has been. Cobb matches up well with the Mets as New York could put out a lineup of mostly left-handed hitters and Cobb allowed a .065 ISO to left-handed hitters last year.
He’ll still have to deal with Pete Alonso, of course, but if Cobb keeps him in the ballpark he should do fine here.
New York Mets
Tylor Megill is making his third start after winning his first two. Megill ended up starting Opening Day for the Mets due to injuries to Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer.
He’s a good pitcher, but unlike Cobb he gets hit hard by left-handed batters and the Giants could also have a left-handed heavy lineup. Left-handed hitters had a .272 ISO against Megill last year.
Mike Yastrzemski (.237), Brandon Belt (.337), Joc Pederson (.207), and Brandon Crawford (.224) all had an ISO over .200 against right-handed pitching last year.
While I agree that this doesn’t project to be a high-scoring game, which makes the under seem like a tempting bet, it makes more sense to just bet the Giants.
San Francisco just showed they’re a good road team winning a series against the Guardians in Cleveland and I expect that to continue as their road trip shifts to New York.
The Giants seem to have an edge on both sides of the ball as Cobb has the upper hand on the Mets left-handed hitters whereas Megill cedes the advantage to the Giants lefty bats.
That makes this a pretty good value at +100 and I would be comfortable betting it to -110. Check out the MLB Odds page for the best line leading up to first pitch.
Pick: Giants ML (+100)
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