The Chicago White Sox host the Kansas City Royals on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on CHSN.
This will be the second game of a three-game series between these American League Central Division rivals. The White Sox took the first one with a 7-2 win on Friday, improving their record to a still-dreadful 21-43, while the Royals are 33-31 and trail the division-leading Detroit Tigers by 8 1/2 games.
Find a Royals vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers and betting trends for Saturday.
Royals vs White Sox Prediction
- Royals vs White Sox picks: Under 8 (-105, BetMGM)
Our Royals vs White Sox best bet is Under 8 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs White Sox Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -148 | 8 -115o / -107u | -141 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +122 | 8 -115o / -107u | +119 |
Royals vs White Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Michael Wacha (KC) | Stat | RHP Adrian Houser (CWS) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 2.88/3.54 | ERA /xERA | 1.47/3.46 |
| 3.39/4.29 | FIP / xFIP | 2.36/3.62 |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 0.98 |
| 11.3 | K-BB% | 12.9 |
| 40.2 | GB% | 41.2 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 103 | Location+ | 107 |
Royals vs White Sox Preview
These are two of the worst American League run-producing lineups, with the White Sox ranked 13th and the Royals 14th out of 15 teams, while they are 26th and 27th in all Major League Baseball.
The previous 7-2 score might influence the line for the total, but we have a pitching duel today between Kansas City's Michael Wacha and Chicago's Adrian Houser, which should significantly lower the scoring odds when paired with the mediocre offensive output of both teams so far.
Wacha has been outstanding this season; he's allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts. Even though his xERA and xFIP might suggest some regression, it should not happen all of a sudden against a Sox lineup with a .640 OPS in 2025.
Houser might also be outperforming a bit, although his excellent 0.98 WHIP is a good indicator of his control and command, and he should just be cautious with Salvador Perez, who hits very well against him with .667, one homer and four runs batted in.
With both pitchers getting over 40% ground balls, the weather factor should help keep the total low.
Royals vs White Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
Weather Watch Unders is a system built for MLB totals bettors who understand how environmental factors quietly shift run production.
This approach focuses on games with moderate to strong winds — especially those blowing in or cross-field — paired with mild to cool temperatures, a known recipe for stifled fly balls, and reduced scoring.
When totals open high but tick down before the first pitch, it signals sharp money reacting to these same weather cues. With home moneyline ranges excluding extreme mismatches, the model focuses on fairly priced contests where weather truly has a chance to swing scoring.
Layer in the context of regular-season motivation, and this strategy captures overlooked market inefficiencies in totals inflated by prior offensive output rather than conditions on the field.
Pick: Under 8 (-105, BetMGM)
