The Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Dodgers on October 14, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on HBO Max.
Find my MLB betting preview and Dodgers vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction
- Dodgers vs Brewers picks: Dodgers ML (-140 or Better)
My Dodgers vs Brewers best bet is on the Dodgers ML. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Brewers Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 7.5 105o / -125u | -130 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 7.5 105o / -125u | +110 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | Stat | RHP Freddy Peralta (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | W-L | 3-2 |
| 5.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.6 |
| 2.49 / 2.73 | ERA /xERA | 2.70 / 3.47 |
| 2.94 / 3.05 | FIP / xFIP | 3.64 / 3.85 |
| 0.99 | WHIP | 1.08 |
| 3.4 | K-BB% | 3.1 |
| 51.6% | GB% | 35% |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 110 | Location+ | 104 |
Sean Paul's Dodgers vs Brewers Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: Peralta Needs His Best Stuff
I totally misread Freddy Peralta in his last start versus the Cubs.
He pitched four innings, allowing three hits and three runs in an eventual loss in a potential clinching game. It wasn't an awful outing, but it wasn't an ace-like performance.
Peralta posted a 2.70 ERA with a 3.47 xERA and a 3.64 FIP in the regular season. He made the ascent from the top of the rotation arm to a bona fide ace, but there's no denying that he was a bit lucky. He walked five batters in two starts in the NLDS. He has to find a way to limit the free passes, or he'll be in real trouble in game two.
During the NLCS, the Brewers had the second-best wRC+(111) in MLB. The trio of Andrew Vaughn, Jackson Chourio, and William Contreras each posted a wRC+ better than 165 — and the only other hitter above 90 was Christian Yelich (100). The lineup was very top-heavy. That's not a bad thing, but the bottom of the order has to hit to beat a juggernaut like the Dodgers.
The Brewers' exquisite plate patience carried into the postseason, ranking third among playoff teams with a 9.9% walk rate and the second-lowest strikeout rate at 18.8%.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Yamamoto's Poor Outing an Outlier?
And in a twist of fate, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who had a divine second big league season, had his worst outing of the season in Milwaukee.
How does Yamamoto bounce back from his brutal start, where he failed to finish the first inning back in June? Yamamoto was leaving his pitches — breaking balls in particular — over the middle of the plate. Sal Frelick began the barrage by drilling a middle-middle curveball into the gap, and Vaughn made his mark by drilling a high slider into the seats.
At the end of the day, these are big-league hitters. If Yamamoto leaves breaking balls in the middle of the plate, then the Brewers will pounce again. That isn't the norm for the Dodgers ace, though.
Although Yamamoto struggled in his lone NLDS start versus the Phillies, he held the Reds to two runs over 6 2/3 innings with nine strikeouts in the Wild Card series.
Yamamoto will likely have to be alright sacrificing strikeouts for quicker outs. He ranked in the 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in strikeout rate, but also held opponents to a .207 xBA, ranked in the 87th percentile in barrel rate allowed, and the 91st in groundball rate allowed.
If he can keep the Brewers on the ground with soft contact, that'll be huge for the Dodgers.
The team with the right pitching staff to take down the Dodgers was the Phillies. If you told me the Dodgers hit .199 with a 55 wRC+ in the NLDS, I probably would have thought the Phillies pulled off a stunning upset. Instead, the Dodgers found a way to win despite having one player with a wRC+ above 100, and Shohei Ohtani hit .057 with a -57 wRC+.
Ohtani has two career homers versus Peralta, so this matchup is easier for the MVP.
I think we saw the absolute worst version of the Dodgers' offense. Peralta will have a very tough test here.
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Brewers did an excellent job dominating the NL favorites in the regular season to get home-field advantage.
But the playoffs are a totally different beast.
The Dodgers probably have a slight upper hand in the pitching department in game two, or a wash at worst.
The difference is just how dominant the Dodgers' offense is when they're clicking, a level this Brewers team can't match.
Pick: Dodgers ML (-140 or Better)
