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Marlins vs Phillies Prediction, Pick, Odds for Tuesday, September 23

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction, Pick, Odds for Tuesday, September 23 article feature image
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Pictured: Jakob Marsee. (Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images)

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins on September 23, 2025. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.

Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

  • Marlins vs Phillies pick: Jakob Marsee to Record a Double

My Marlins vs Phillies best bet is on Marsee to hit a double. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Marlins vs Phillies Odds

Marlins Logo
Tuesday, Sep 23
6:45 p.m. ET
NBCS-PH
Phillies Logo
Marlins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-105
8
-105o / -115u
+185
Phillies Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-115
8
-105o / -115u
-225
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Marlins vs Phillies Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Edward Cabrera (MIA)StatLHP Cristopher Sanchez (PHI)
7-7W-L13-5
2.1fWAR (FanGraphs)2.7
3.57/3.93ERA /xERA2.66/3.14
3.70/3.59FIP / xFIP2.65/2.82
1.21WHIP1.10
18.0%K-BB%20.3%
46.4%GB%58.3%
105Stuff+114
102Location+101

Alex Kolodziej’s Marlins Prediction, Betting Analysis

For tonight’s Marlins vs. Phillies matchup, PRO Projections popped with an interesting, data-driven play. The standout pick of the day is taking Jakob Marsee to hit a double at +550 odds (FanDuel).

Since debuting on August 1, Marsee has quickly established himself as a formidable offensive threat. He boasts a .319 batting average, has launched five home runs, and carries an impressive .912 OPS. What’s especially notable is his knack for hitting doubles, which PRO Projections highlights as the most value-packed bet for tonight’s game.

Marsee’s recent form instills confidence. He drilled three doubles in his last four games and four over his last six. After tallying 11 doubles across the month of August, Marsee has already added seven more in September.

According to PRO’s data, Marsee is projected to hit approximately 0.28 doubles in tonight’s game at Citizens Bank Park. Translating that into betting terms suggests a fair price closer to +257, indicating the current +550 odds offer about a 9% value edge.

While Citizens Bank Park has historically been an average venue for doubles over the past three seasons, it ranks among the top 10 ballparks for doubles this year per Statcast data. This combination of Marsee’s consistent doubles power and the park’s favorable conditions makes this bet an enticing one for tonight.

Pick: Jakob Marsee to Record a Double (+525, BetMGM)


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Author Profile
About the Author

Alex began his career as a freelancer before becoming a columnist, reporter, and breaking news writer for FanRag Sports, and later the leading gambling writer at theScore. He joined the Action Network as a senior news editor, handling breaking news and the sports betting market's reactions. Alex also works on Action Network’s PRO projections, transforming subscription-based models into user-friendly content.

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