The Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins on September 23, 2025. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
- Marlins vs Phillies pick: Jakob Marsee to Record a Double
My Marlins vs Phillies best bet is on Marsee to hit a double. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Phillies Odds
Marlins Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 8 -105o / -115u | +185 |
Phillies Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 8 -105o / -115u | -225 |
Marlins vs Phillies Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Edward Cabrera (MIA) | Stat | LHP Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) |
---|---|---|
7-7 | W-L | 13-5 |
2.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
3.57/3.93 | ERA /xERA | 2.66/3.14 |
3.70/3.59 | FIP / xFIP | 2.65/2.82 |
1.21 | WHIP | 1.10 |
18.0% | K-BB% | 20.3% |
46.4% | GB% | 58.3% |
105 | Stuff+ | 114 |
102 | Location+ | 101 |
Alex Kolodziej’s Marlins Prediction, Betting Analysis
For tonight’s Marlins vs. Phillies matchup, PRO Projections popped with an interesting, data-driven play. The standout pick of the day is taking Jakob Marsee to hit a double at +550 odds (FanDuel).
Since debuting on August 1, Marsee has quickly established himself as a formidable offensive threat. He boasts a .319 batting average, has launched five home runs, and carries an impressive .912 OPS. What’s especially notable is his knack for hitting doubles, which PRO Projections highlights as the most value-packed bet for tonight’s game.
Marsee’s recent form instills confidence. He drilled three doubles in his last four games and four over his last six. After tallying 11 doubles across the month of August, Marsee has already added seven more in September.
According to PRO’s data, Marsee is projected to hit approximately 0.28 doubles in tonight’s game at Citizens Bank Park. Translating that into betting terms suggests a fair price closer to +257, indicating the current +550 odds offer about a 9% value edge.
While Citizens Bank Park has historically been an average venue for doubles over the past three seasons, it ranks among the top 10 ballparks for doubles this year per Statcast data. This combination of Marsee’s consistent doubles power and the park’s favorable conditions makes this bet an enticing one for tonight.
Pick: Jakob Marsee to Record a Double (+525, BetMGM)