MLB Best Bets Today | Odds, Picks for Rays vs Orioles, Braves vs Marlins (Sunday, September 17)
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There's a full slate of baseball on Sunday, September 17, which means there are numerous betting opportunities on the board.
Our MLB betting experts have looked over the latest MLB odds and identified today's MLB best bets.
There's clear betting value on a player prop in Rays vs. Orioles and a F5 bet in Braves vs. Marlins, so continue reading today's MLB best bets below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
Rays vs. Orioles
By Tony Sartori
The first-place Baltimore Orioles host the second-place Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.
The Rays' lineup has flown under the radar as one of the best in baseball. Tampa Bay ranks in the top seven of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, SLG, OPS and home runs. Additionally, the lineup at excels at putting the ball in play and avoiding the strikeout.
Tampa Bay ranks in the top half of the league in K% against right-handed pitching this year and both Yandy Diaz and Isaac Paredes posses strikeout rates south of 18% this season.
This trend is likely to continue against Baltimore right-hander Dean Kremer. Through 57 career plate appearances against Kremer, the Rays lineup possesses a mere 12.3% strikeout rate.
It's been a tough season for Kremer, who owns a 4.25 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP through 29 starts. His underlying metrics are even worse as the right-hander ranks in the 25th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, Average Exit Velocity and Barrel%.
He also ranks in the 34th percentile or lower in Chase%, Whiff% and K%.
You can find Kremer's strikeout prop at 4.5 (PointsBet), a total he's failed to surpass in three of his past four starts against Tampa Bay.
Kremer hasn't reached the sixth inning in either of his past two starts, and more of the same is likely in-store against the Rays. If he has another short start, five strikeouts is going to be a tough task. Bet Kremer to go under 4.5 strikeouts and play that to -120.
Pick: Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100)
Braves vs. Marlins
By Kevin Rogers
The Braves have dropped the first two games of their series against the Marlins and will look to avoid the road sweep Sunday.
Granted, Atlanta may have eased off the pedal after clinching the NL East title in Philadelphia last week, but the Braves have only been swept in one road series of at least three games this season (at Toronto in May).
The Braves boast a 5-1 record in Charlie Morton’s past six starts in the first five innings and the right-hander has defeated the Marlins twice this season.
Morton has allowed seven hits and one run in his two starts against Miami (12 2/3 innings), while the Braves have led by a combined score of 10-1 in the first five innings of those games.
Jesus Luzardo counters for Miami and the Marlins have slumped to a 2-6-2 record in the left-hander’s past 10 starts in the first five innings.
The Marlins haven't been a reliable team to back in series finales lately in the first five innings as they've posted a 1-11-2 mark in their past 14 opportunities.
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