The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on April 26, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
The Braves are favored by -165 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are +136 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
- Phillies vs Braves Pick: Braves -1.5 (play to +100)
My Phillies vs Braves best bet is on Atlanta to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Braves Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -156 | 8 -115o / -105u | +136 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 8 -115o / -105u | -165 |
- Phillies vs Braves moneyline: Phillies +136, Braves -165
- Phillies vs Braves over/under: 8 (-115 / -105)
- Phillies vs Braves spread: Phillies +1.5 (-156), Braves -1.5 (+129)
Phillies vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Aaron Nola (PHI) | Stat | LHP Chris Sale (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 4-1 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 5.06 / 4.69 | ERA / xERA | 2.79 / 3.14 |
| 4.03 / 3.47 | FIP / xFIP | 4.41 / 3.74 |
| .347 | BABIP | .239 |
| 16.5% | K-BB% | 19.1% |
| 42.1% | GB% | 43.4% |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 115 |
| 95 | Location+ | 111 |
Phillies vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
Phillies vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
The Phillies saw the Mets go on a 12-game losing streak and said, "Hold my beer". They also had a 10+ game losing streak and will try to get their season on track.
Long-time Phillie, Aaron Nola, will draw the start in the series finale. He enters this outing with a bloated 5.06 ERA, but his xERA is 4.69, and FIP is 4.09. Brighter days could be ahead for Nola.
Nola is punching out 9.79 batters per nine, his best since 2022. Conversely, his BABIP is a wholly unsustainable .347, which would be the worst of his career by a clear margin.
The issue for Philadelphia is a lack of offense. It ranks 25th in MLB with an 85 wRC+, which seems inconceivable for a lineup with as many high-priced players as the Phillies have. Two of the biggest ticket items are the only two hitting: Kyle Schwarber, who has a 128 wRC+, and Bryce Harper, who has a 137 wRC+.
Just look at the Phillies lineup from Saturday — Trea Turner and his 86 wRC+ led off with Adolis Garcia, who has a 97 wRC+ hitting fourth. Pitchers don't have to give Schwarber and Harper hittable pitches, as Turner and Garcia either don't give the big boppers a chance to drive a runner in, or don't bring them in if they get on.
The Braves have a commanding six-game lead for first place in a disappointing NL East.
Chris Sale is off to another strong start to what should be an All-Star campaign. The now 37-year-old enters with a 2.79 ERA with 3.14 xERA and a 4.41 FIP. The elevated FIP is worrisome, largely tied to Sale's 1.55 HR/9, the highest mark of his career. You can live with homers if they're of the solo variety, though. That's the only run the Phillies scored against Sale last Sunday night.
Atlanta is an explosive offensive team, ranking third with a 121 wRC+. Good luck pitching to this Braves offense. They strike out just 18% of the time and have six hitters with a wRC+ better than 100. By the way, Ronald Acuna Jr., the franchise player for Atlanta, has the lowest wRC+ among those above the threshold.
Credit to Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies, a pair of players who regressed from their rookie seasons, but have refound their form in 2026. That has given the Braves an unquantifiable offensive lift.
Once the game gets to the eighth and ninth innings, it's over. Adding Robert Suarez to Raisel Iglesias in the back-end of the bullpen was a wise move by Atlanta's front office.
I'm rolling with the Braves laying 1.5 at plus money against a reeling Phillies bunch. All Sale has to do is contain Schwarber and Harper, and he'll be fine. The lefty-lefty matchup could be tough on them.
Pick: Braves -1.5 (play to +100)
