There are a full 15 games on the Friday, June 6 schedule and our MLB betting experts have found the best bets on the board.
Their MLB predictions include a pair of plays on the first game of the day — Marlins vs. Rays — so don't waste any time and continue reading for today's MLB best bets.
MLB Predictions, Best Bets, Props 6/6
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
---|---|---|
9:38 p.m. | ||
10:15 p.m. | ||
1:10 p.m. | ||
1:10 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Charlie Wright's Marlins vs Rays Best Bet: This Line is Too High
I'm always intrigued by the 5.5 lines, and today's environment and pitching matchup don't warrant a number this high. Edward Cabrera and Zack Littell have both pitched well recently and although it's warm in Tampa, the winds are minimal.
Cabrera was phenomenal in May, posting a 2.00 ERA across five starts. More importantly, he only issued eight walks. Eno Sarris of The Athletic pointed out that Cabrera lowered his arm slot and prioritized his sinker recently. Those adjustments might be behind the improved control. Cabrera has always had good stuff, but the walks have held him back. He's never had a season with a walk rate below 11%. He's at 9.6% this season, and it was 7.5% in May.
The Rays have been middling on offense, ranking 17th in OPS and 16th in wOBA against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days. They were 17th in walk rate. The Rays will likely send a bunch of lefties to the plate, which could benefit Cabrera. He's had reverse splits this season, including a massive 30.1% strikeout rate against lefties.
Littell is on a nice little run himself. He's allowed three earned runs or less in nine straight starts. Home runs are a concern for Littell, but if the ball stays in the yard, he's typically effective. The Marlins ranks 21st in wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days. They're 21st in ISO and 18th in SLG over that stretch. The Marlins have hit the fourth-fewest home runs this season and may not have the pop to exploit Littell's home run problem.
Pick: First 5 Innings Under 5.5 (-146)
Grant Neiffer's Marlins vs Rays Best Bet: Value on Lowe Going Yard
Brandon Lowe is in a great spot today and his odds are far too high.
The weather in Tampa Bay is great with temperatures in the high 80s, high humidity and winds blowing out at 6 mph. The matchup against Edward Cabrera is an above average one as he's allowed a 1.19 HR/9 in his career to lefties despite playing in a pitcher friendly ballpark throughout his career.
I have the true odds of Lowe homering today at around +400, making this a great EV bet.