The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Mets on June 29, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Blue Jays are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Mets vs Blue Jays Pick: Under 8.5
My Mets vs Blue Jays best bet is on game totals. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Blue Jays Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -195 | 8.5 -118o / -100u | +105 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +161 | 8.5 -118o / -100u | -125 |
- Mets vs Blue Jays moneyline: Mets +105, Blue Jays -125
- Mets vs Blue Jays over/under: 8.5 (-118o / -100u)
- Mets vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+161 ), Mets +1.5 (-195)
Mets vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| LHP Sean Manaea (NYM) | Stat | RHP Trey Yesavage (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 4.87 / 4.03 | ERA / xERA | 3.56 / 2.91 |
| 3.67 / 3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 3.79 / 4.64 |
| 15.6% | K-BB% | 11.2% |
| 38.1% | GB% | 35.3% |
| .333 | BABIP | .232 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 97 | Location+ | 87 |
Mets vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
We have Sean Manaea vs. Trey Yesavage in Toronto today. My initial read on this one is that I like the pitchers. The Blue Jays have hit .219/.293/.358 against lefties this year — that's the second-lowest batting average and the third-lowest OPS.
Manaea has been stretched out again to be a starter for the Mets, throwing 80+ pitches in the last three. He has a 17.5% K-BB% since mid-May, even as he's bulked up the pitch counts. His fastball and sweeper have all worked very well with xwOBA allowed under .270 on both. The guy is a good pitcher, and he's in a good groove right now.
On the other side is Trey Yesavage, who has had some command issues this year. He's at a 12% BB% with a 37.9% Ball%, and he's coming off a five-walk start against Houston. It's another splitter guy. Sometimes you have the splitter feel, sometimes you don't. And if he loses it, there's not much else to fall back on.
We know he has huge upside. The SwStr% is very strong at 14.2%, and hitters have a ton of trouble squaring him up with a .269 xwOBA on the season. The Mets don't offer a ton of offensive resistance, even though they are getting healthy with both Soto and Lindor back in the lineup together.
The tiebreaker for me is the bullpens. It's always good to give those grades a look. The Mets rank #7 and the Blue Jays #5 on the day, according to our BARTOLO tool.
I think this could be a very quick and tidy game, and I like the under 8.5 we're getting.
Pick: Under 8.5
