The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees on September 19, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Yankees shut out the Orioles 7-0 in the first game of this series, and will send Will Warren to the mound tonight against Baltimore ace Trevor Rogers.
Find my MLB betting preview and Yankees vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
- Yankees vs Orioles pick: Under 9 (-105)
My Yankees vs Orioles best bet is Under 9 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Orioles Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 9 -115o / -105u | -120 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 9 -115o / -105u | +100 |
Yankees vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Will Warren (NYY) | Stat | LHP Trevor Rogers (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | W-L | 8-2 |
| 2.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.6 |
| 4.44 / 4.51 | ERA / xERA | 1.43 / 3.05 |
| 3.97 / 3.92 | FIP / xFIP | 2.43 / 3.51 |
| 1.38 | WHIP | 0.89 |
| 14.7 | K-BB% | 17.8 |
| 43.0 | GB% | 47.2 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 100 | Location+ | 105 |
Yankees vs Orioles Preview
Against Max Fried, the Orioles suffered a shutout yesterday in this series opener, and it was another example of their lightweight offense this month.
Over the past 13 games, Baltimore has only managed to score more than five runs just once. They rank 21st in wRC+ in September, so even though they will face Will Warren — who is no Fried —, the New York starter should have no fear of this lineup.
Meanwhile, the Yankees rank eighth in wRC+ this month, but have much more of a challenge in their hands with Trevor Rogers on the mound for the Orioles.
The southpaw has been consistently great all year long, posting a 1.53 ERA in the first half of the season and a 1.38 ERA after the All-Star break.
Rogers is even better at home, with a minuscule 1.10 ERA.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under.
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has also subtly corrected, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 9 (-105, bet365)
Yankees vs Orioles Betting Trends
