The New York Yankees host the Athletics on June 28, 2025. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on YES.
Find my MLB betting preview and Athletics vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Athletics vs Yankees Prediction
- Athletics vs Yankees picks: Yankees -1.5 (-126 | Play to -135)
My Athletics vs Yankees best bet is Yankees -1.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Yankees Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +104 | 9 -110 / -110 | +202 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -125 | 9 -110 / -110 | -250 |
Athletics vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP JP Sears (ATH) | Stat | RHP Clarke Schmidt (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 4-3 |
| 0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.5 |
| 5.44 / 4.36 | ERA /xERA | 2.84 / 2.66 |
| 5.3 / 4.76 | FIP / xFIP | 3.49 / 4.22 |
| 1.33 | WHIP | 1.06 |
| 12.5% | K-BB% | 14.1% |
| 30.3% | GB% | 33% |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 104 | Location+ | 103 |
Tony Sartori's Athletics vs Yankees Preview
Athletics Betting Preview
JP Sears is enduring the worst season of his professional career. Through 16 games, Sears is 5-7 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that these struggles will continue. Entering this matchup, Sears ranks in the bottom third of the league in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), average exit velocity and strikeout rate.
Unsurprisingly, he has particularly struggled against New York. Through six appearances against the Yankees, Sears is 0-4 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.
Following Sears is perhaps the worst bullpen in baseball. This season, the Athletics’ relief corps ranks last in ERA, 27th in fielding independent pitching (FIP), 28th in expected FIP (xFIP) and 27th in wins above replacement (WAR).
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The clear pitching advantage belongs to New York. Starting with the bullpen, the Yankees’ relief corps outranks the Athletics’ in each of those four aforementioned categories.
They also boast the starting pitching edge with right-hander Clarke Schmidt taking the mound. Through 12 games, Schmidt is 4-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.
His analytics are even more impressive. Entering this matchup, Schmidt ranks in the 85th percentile or higher in xERA, xBA, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
Furthermore, New York holds a clear edge at the plate. This season, the Yankees outrank the Athletics in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and OPS.
Athletics vs Yankees Prediction, Betting Analysis
There is simply not a single advantage that the Athletics hold in this matchup. New York boasts a stronger starting pitcher, bullpen and lineup.
Additionally, the Yankees have the benefit of playing at Yankee Stadium. They are 25-16 at home, while the Athletics are 18-24 on the road.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 (-126 | Play to -135)
Moneyline
I like New York to win, but find more value in just taking the run line.
Run Line (Spread)
As mentioned, I'm betting on the Yankees run line.
Over/Under
I lean toward the Under, but I don't trust Spears.
