The Athletics host the Philadelphia Phillies on May 24, 2025. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 10:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA.
Find my MLB betting preview and Phillies vs Athletics prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
- Phillies vs Athletics picks: Over 10 (-108) | Play to -118
My Phillies vs Athletics best bet is Over 10 (-108). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Athletics Odds
Phillies Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 10 -110o / -110u | -175 |
Athletics Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 10 -110o / -110u | +145 |
Phillies vs Athletics Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | Stat | LHP Jeffrey Springs (ATH) |
---|---|---|
4-1 | W-L | 5-3 |
0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
3.10/3.14 | ERA /xERA | 3.91/3.94 |
3.54/2.90 | FIP / xFIP | 4.43/4.85 |
1.18 | WHIP | 1.25 |
20.3% | K-BB% | 8.9% |
55.9% | GB% | 30.7% |
113 | Stuff+ | 92 |
95 | Location+ | 96 |
Kenny Ducey’s Phillies vs Athletics Preview
It's been more of the same from the indomitable Cristopher Sanchez, who has cruised to a 2.50 ERA in three starts this month. Some issues with walks are beginning to creep in — he issued three walks in three consecutive outings heading into his last turn through the rotation — but the good news is that he made it through six frames against the Colorado Rockies without a walk.
Sanchez continues to force his opposition into weak contact on the ground with one of the highest ground-ball rates around at 55.9%, and he's also managed to take his already-positive strikeout rate up a hair to 28.5% in recent outings. He's bordering on elite territory with this profile, and if he can continue making gains in the strikeout department, he could be turning into an unsolvable problem for offenses.
Speaking of offense, the Phillies are still producing at the plate. They're hitting .275 in the last two weeks, and while their Isolated Power has taken a bit of a hit at .161, they're still striking out in just 19.4% of plate appearances over that span. They could do with some more walks, perhaps, but their contact approach is definitely working.
The Athletics are equally hot at the dish over the last two weeks, even if Friday's slew of moves seemed to signal some dissatisfaction with the way things had been going. I'd say it's the contrary; this team is hitting well enough at the moment to win some games, and it was about time they cut out some of their weak links and replaced them with some trendy youngsters down on the farm.
While that didn't amount to a win on Friday — and it hasn't amounted to a win in 10 games now — the Athletics have now scored 18 runs across their last four games and did so rather quickly in the opening game of this series after being stymied by Zack Wheeler for most of the game. They now sit 11th in wRC+ in the last two weeks with solid rates across the board.
Things are certainly looking up at the plate, but the same can't be said for this pitching staff. Jeffrey Springs isn't necessarily the main culprit here, but after teasing us with his talent in Tampa Bay, you'd have to be at least a little disappointed by his 3.91 ERA in 10 starts.
Springs owns a 1.46 ERA this month, however, he may be put in a tough spot on Saturday against a Phillies team that presents a tough matchup. He's not exactly finding strikeouts like he used to, rocking just an 18.2% punchout rate, and he's also heading the wrong direction in the walks column.
The biggest worry here is the fact that his Expected Slugging is up to .417 from .367 in a short sample last year; he's pitching to a lot of fly balls and that's a worry inside a park which is quickly becoming known as one of the most hitter-friendly.
Phillies vs Athletics Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Phillies have not only tormented lefties, ranking fourth in wRC+, but they've also tormented fly-ball pitchers to the tune of the fourth-best OPS in baseball.
We know there will be a lot of contact made here, given Springs' inability to miss bats and Philly's low strikeout rate, and that's what makes the lefty a tough sell. The Phillies have a perfectly balanced blend of contact and power, which gives me worries here for Springs, even if he's been cooking lately, but we're priced out of the road favorites here.
Instead, I'm going to hunt down the total. I see issues arising for Springs, but we can't look past an Athletics team that has continued to hit the ball well and ranks 10th in OPS against ground-ball pitchers this season. It's been hard to scratch runs across against Sanchez, sure, but with that nugget of info, coupled with the sixth-best wRC+ against lefties, I'm going to stake my claim that both teams will score.
Pick: Over 10 (-108)
Moneyline
I'll pass here.
Run Line (Spread)
I will also pass for the run line.
Over/Under
As mentioned, I'm picking the over.