The Toronto Blue Jays host the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 24, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Blue Jays are favored by -162 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +136 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Pirates vs Blue Jays Pick: Pirates +1.5 (-155 | Play to -165)
My Pirates vs Blue Jays best bet is Pirates +1.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +136 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -162 |
- Pirates vs Blue Jays moneyline: Pirates +136, Blue Jays -162
- Pirates vs Blue Jays over/under: 7.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Pirates vs Blue Jays spread: Pirates +1.5 (-164), Blue Jays -1.5 (+136)
Pirates vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| RHP Mitch Keller (PIT) | Stat | RHP Dylan Cease (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | W-L | 3-2 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 3.86 / 4.26 | ERA / xERA | 2.98 / 2.97 |
| 3.51 / 3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 2.31 / 2.58 |
| 17.7% | K-BB% | 24.7% |
| 40.4% | GB% | 47.6% |
| .249 | BABIP | .339 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 105 | Location+ | 99 |
Pirates vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview: Keller Getting Support
Right-hander Mitch Keller has been fantastic for the Pirates this season. Through 10 starts, he is 4-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP.
His greatest success has come from suppressing hard contact. Entering this matchup, Keller ranks in the 76th percentile in average exit velocity, 79th percentile in barrel rate and 52nd percentile in hard-hit rate.
Keller should also receive plenty of run support. This season, the Pirates rank fifth in runs scored per game, second in hits per game, fifth in on-base percentage and 10th in OPS.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview: Toronto's Success to Cease?
Even though Toronto has been red hot and has won four straight, the hitting advantage in this game still goes to Pittsburgh, which ranks ahead of the Blue Jays in each of those four categories.
The Pirates’ success at the plate could continue against right-hander Dylan Cease, who is coming off his worst outing of the year.
In that start, Cease surrendered five runs across five innings en route to a 5-4 loss to the Yankees. He could struggle again, considering his poor track record against Pittsburgh.
In his past two meetings with the Pirates, Cease is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA. From the other side, the current Pirates roster owns a .295 batting average and a .568 slugging percentage across 48 combined plate appearances against the right-hander.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
Cease’s struggles against this current Pittsburgh roster could be a key reason this game remains close. On the other hand, Keller has been a reliable option for the Pirates this season.
When factoring in a Pittsburgh lineup that ranks ahead of Toronto’s in most major hitting categories, it is worth backing the +1.5 run line.
Pick: Pirates +1.5 (-155 | Play to -165)
