Rays vs. Blue Jays MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Bet Toronto to Stay Hot (Sept. 14)

Rays vs. Blue Jays MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Bet Toronto to Stay Hot (Sept. 14) article feature image

(Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images) Pictured: Ross Stripling

  • The Blue Jays host the Rays in the fourth game of a lengthy five-game set.
  • Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, so there's a lot on the line Wednesday night.
  • Jules Posner breaks down the matchup and shares his best bet below.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds

Rays Odds+100
Blue Jays Odds-115
Time7:07 p.m. ET
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The Tampa Bay Rays look to even up their five-game set against the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday night. Sure, one of the five games was a make-up contest, but five straight home games down the stretch run for one of the best teams in baseball is quite fortuitous for Toronto.

The Jays send Ross Stripling to the mound to clinch the series victory and he'll be opposed by Drew Rasmussen.

In a series with huge AL Wild Card implications, the Jays look to create some distance between themselves and the Rays, who remain a game back of the top spot.

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Tampa Bay Rays: Can Rasmussen Lead Rays to Win?

Drew Rasmussen really put himself on the map with his near perfect game last month. While many have taken notice of Rasmussen lately, he's been a solid rotation piece for the Rays all year.

While Rasmussen's overall road numbers grade out as slightly above average, he is still considerably more vulnerable on the road than at home. To be fair, his stats are a little weird because he was not fully stretched out as a starter and had some short, bad performances on the road in the beginning of the season.

Since July, Rasmussen has posted a 1.35 ERA and a 2.31 FIP on the road. Overall, he's posted a 3.22 ERA with a 3.60 FIP. This raises the question: Has Rasmussen taken a step forward as a starter? Or is he just on a hot stretch?

Toronto Blue Jays: Can Offense Break Through?

The Jays have been playing excellent baseball as of late and are 7-3 in their past 10 games.

Offensively, they've still been underwhelming, especially at home. Over the past two weeks they've only posted a 94 wRC+ at home against right handers. However, they seem to have been experiencing some bad luck as evidenced by their .190 BABIP over that same stretch.

Not only is that the worst in MLB, but it should also be noted that they have the thirst lowest K% over that same span. That is insanely bad luck.

Ross Stripling takes the mound for the Jays and he's been solid at home this season. He is also going to be backed by a bullpen that seems to be putting things together at the right time.

Rays-Blue Jays Pick

While it's tough to deny Drew Rasmussen's hot streak on the road, it is easy to deny the Jays current offensive struggles. A team that has that low of a BABIP, but also that low of a K% is due for some positive regression — even if they are facing a good pitcher.

Otherwise, the Jays still carry an edge offensively and in bullpen production into this match up. They are still the favorites and their moneyline opened at -115. That should be the play to -130 or better.

Pick: Jays ML -115

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