The New York Mets host the Cincinnati Reds on July 20, 2025. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSOH.
Find my MLB betting preview and Reds vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
- Reds vs Mets pick: Under 8
My Reds vs Mets best bet is the under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Mets Odds
Reds Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 8 -119o / -102u | +128 |
Mets Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +134 | 8 -119o / -102u | -156 |
Reds vs Mets Projected Starting Pitchers
Andrew Abbott (CIN) | Stat | David Peterson (NYM) |
---|---|---|
8-1 | W-L | 6-4 |
2.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.1 |
2.07/3.22 | ERA /xERA | 3.06/4.15 |
3.52/4.13 | FIP / xFIP | 3.37/3.59 |
1.08 | WHIP | 1.24 |
16 | K-BB% | 12.3 |
31.8 | GB% | 56.6 |
96 | Stuff+ | 89 |
102 | Location+ | 101 |
Reds vs Mets Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system targets unders in Game 2 or later of regular-season series featuring two teams with winning records—matchups often characterized by strong pitching and intense competition. Despite the high quality of play, public bettors frequently lean toward the over, anticipating offensive fireworks between top-tier teams.
This creates contrarian value on the under, especially when public support drops to 35% or less. By fading the crowd and backing unders in tightly contested series games, this strategy exploits market inefficiencies where scoring is often overestimated.
The result is a proven edge in undervalued late-series unders driven by sharp, data-backed positioning.
Pick: Under 8
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in the Reds vs. Mets series finale.