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MLB Odds & Picks for Rockies vs. Dodgers: Target This Prop Tonight

MLB Odds & Picks for Rockies vs. Dodgers: Target This Prop Tonight article feature image
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Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Mookie Betts

  • The Dodgers are once again huge favorites at home against the Rockies.
  • Los Angeles sends rookie Mitch White to the mound, while Colorado will counter with German Marquez.
  • Continue reading for a full breakdown of this matchup, including a betting pick.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Odds

Rockies Odds +205
Dodgers Odds -250
Over/Under 8.5
Time 10:10 p.m. ET
TV MLB.TV
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The Los Angeles Dodgers managed a 5-3 win over the Colorado Rockies in Monday’s series opener, led by a strong six innings from starter Julio Urias.

The Rockies still hold a surprising edge this season over Los Angeles, as even after Monday’s defeat they are 4-3 against the Dodgers this season.

German Marquez will draw the start for Colorado, hoping things can go better than they did in his start previous against Los Angeles, an outing which saw the veteran starter allow five earned in just three innings.

Mitch White will draw the start for Los Angeles, and look to build on what has been a modest start to the season with a 3.93 ERA.

Are the Dodgers worthy of a -240 price tag facing off against a team which has given them some issues so far this season?

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Marquez Better On The Road For Rockies

Marquez has fallen into a familiar trend of late, as the 27-year-old righty has been getting completely crushed at the hitter friendly confines of Coors Field, but has fared very steadily on the road.

Marquez has pitched to an ERA of 2.27 over his last three road starts, with a WHIP of 1.08.

That three-start stretch has still been the best stretch of Marquez’s season, in which he has pitched to an ERA of 4.27 on the road altogether with a still poor WHIP of 1.35.

Marquez has struck out just 18.7% of batters this season and has pitched to a middling QOPA of 4.38, and does not offer much for swing-and-miss stuff. That is a big part of the notable home-and-road splits as pitching to any sort of contact will always work out worse at Coors Field than most anywhere else.

So while Marquez may has been far from a front-line starter this season, it is worth noting that away from Coors he has been closer to middling than poor.

Opponents still have a miss rate of just 11% on pitches in the strike zone this season, which is the fifth-lowest qualified starters, and is surely a concern whether pitching at Coors or on the road.

Dodgers Led By Betts

The Dodgers have seemingly broken out of what was a small offensive lull of late, and have hit to a third-best wRC+ of 127 since June 18, with a wOBA of .350.

Mookie Betts matches up particularly well against Marquez. Marquez has allowed a SLG of .565 versus right-handed batters this season, which is the worst mark among qualified starters, while Mookie has slugged .540.

Betts is also slugging at a crazy clip of .627 against breaking pitches from right-handed starters this season, which Marquez has thrown 35% of the time.

Betts has batted .357 in 14 ABs against Marquez throughout his career, and it seems he is holding a significant edge in this matchup more than ever in 2022.

Rockies-Dodgers Pick

The sides look pretty close to what they should be, and if anything I see a little more value with the Rockies considering the gap between Marquez and White seems to be a little overvalued in this spot.

As alluded to above, Betts is entering what should be a very favorable matchup in this contest, and I believe we have some value looking toward his total bases prop in this contest.

Betts sits at +110 to collect over 1.5 bases in this game, and I see some value with that line in a spot where he could quite likely collect an extra base hit from Rockies starter Marquez and get it over with early.

Pick: Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Bases +110 (Play to +100)

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