Rovell: My Tuesday MLB Parlay Involving Reds vs. Orioles, Brewers vs. Mets, Marlins vs. Red Sox
Via Megan Briggs/Getty Images. Pictured: Sandy Alcantara #22 of the Miami Marlins pitches against the San Diego Padres during the third inning at loanDepot park on May 30, 2023 in Miami, Florida.
Over the last week, I've hit 17 of my last 30 parlays.
Wait, what?
Yep.
I recently started doing two- and three-leg parlays on baseball totals.
I buy back either an under or an over and parlay them.
Let's explain.
Yesterday, I did the following three-way parlay for +139:
- Over 5.5: Twins vs. Tigers
- Under 14.5: Cubs vs. Cardinals
- Over 6.5: Mets vs. Phillies
The original totals on these games, respectively, were 7.5, 12 and 9.5. I buy them back to give me extra protection.
This was relatively sweat free. The Twins scored six alone. The Cubs and Cardinals combined for 12 and the Phillies scored seven runs alone.
Tonight, I'm buying back the over in the Reds vs. Orioles game.
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In the Reds' last 25 games, the total has hit over 6.5 in 22 of those games (88%) and has hit double digits in an astounding 12 of those games (48%). The Reds have all of a sudden turned into one of the best over teams in baseball. The pitchers in this game — Tyler Wells and Andrew Abbott — can't keep this leg from being a winner.
Take the original total 8.5 and buy it to 6.5 and hit the OVER (-250)
The Marlins have averaged 4.45 runs in their last 20 games and the Red Sox have averaged 4.95 runs over the same timespan. It's fitting that this total sits at 9.5 for tonight's ballgame.
While Sandy Alcantara has had a horrible season so far, he's due for some positive regression. And the Marlins are an awful offensive team.
Take the original total of 9.5 and buy up to 12.5 and hit the UNDER (-275)
As a Mets fan, my skin crawls seeing David Peterson on the mound again. Peterson got sent down after going 1-8 and having a 8.08 ERA to start off the year. I think the Brewers are good for at least five here.
Take the original total of 9 and buy down to 7 and hit the OVER 9 (-275)
Bet that 3-leg parlay at BetMGM at +160.
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