Saturday MLB Props & PrizePicks Plays: 5 Selections, Including Byron Buxton & Carlos Correa (June 18)
Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images. Pictured: Byron Buxton (Twins)
Saturday’s MLB slate features 16 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Saturday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Saturday, June 18
Dylan Bundy Pitcher Fantasy Score Under 20.5
We have the second matchup of this three-game interleague series, as the NL West’s Arizona Diamondbacks host the AL Central’s Minnesota Twins.
Right-hander Dylan Bundy is slated to take the mound for the Twins and should be a good fade candidate in this contest.
It has been yet another tough season for Bundy, as he’s 3-3 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.46 WHIP through 10 starts. He’s been in particularly poor form recently, as he’s allowed four or more earned runs in five of his last seven starts.
Bundy has gone under this fantasy total in six of those seven starts (86%).
Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Total Bases
I’m also fading a couple of Minnesota hitters in this matchup, as the Twins are slated to go against right-hander Luke Weaver.
The first batter I’m fading is Byron Buxton.
Buxton’s numbers take about a 13% dip when facing right-handers this season, as he possesses a .225 BA, .313 OBP, .550 SLG and .863 OPS.
Over his last six games, Buxton has gone under this total in four of them (67%).
Carlos Correa Hitter Fantasy Score Under 8
The other Minnesota hitter I’m fading in this contest is Carlos Correa. Correa is the only player on this roster to have faced Weaver before, and he went 0-for-2 in that game.
His numbers take about a 5% dip when facing right-handers this season, as he possesses a .288 BA, .339 OBP, .458 SLG and .796 OPS.
Over his last five games, Correa has generated eight or fewer fantasy points in four of them (80%).
C.J. Cron Over 1.5 Total Bases
We have the second matchup of this three-game NL West interdivisional series, as the Colorado Rockies host the San Diego Padres.
I am backing a few Colorado hitters in this contest, as they’re slated to go against right-hander Nick Martinez.
Through 11 appearances this season, Martinez is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. While those numbers aren’t terrible, his metrics suggest a further slide is imminent, as he possesses a .339 xwOBA, .254 xBA and .451 xSLG.
The first Colorado hitter we’re backing is C.J. Cron, who’s coming off of a monster two-homer game where one went a whopping 486 feet (second-longest homer in the league this season).
Cron should be in store for another big game against Martinez, as he possesses a .350 BA, .750 SLG and .489 wOBA through 22 career plate appearances against the right-hander.
Connor Joe Over 1.5 Total Bases
The other Colorado batter I’m backing in this contest is Connor Joe. Going over this total in each of his last three games, Joe should be a good candidate to back once again.
Joe has been outstanding at home this season, as he boasts a .303 BA, .414 OBP, .443 SLG and .856 OPS. In his three career plate appearances against Martinez, Joe is 1-for-3.
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