The Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners on July 24, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on ROOT Sports NW.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mariners vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mariners vs Angels Prediction
- Mariners vs Angels prediction: Angels ML (-156, DraftKings | Play to -165)
My Mariners vs Angels pick is on the Angels moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Angels Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -169 | 9.5 -102o / -119u | +128 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +138 | 9.5 -102o / -119u | -156 |
Mariners vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Logan Evans (SEA) | Stat | LHP Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 4-6 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 3.81 / 5.51 | ERA / xERA | 3.13 / 4.26 |
| 4.88 / 4.56 | FIP / xFIP | 3.90 / 4.03 |
| 1.42 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 9.4 | K-BB% | 14.1 |
| 39.1 | GB% | 39.7 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 100 | Location+ | 105 |
Kenny Duceyās Mariners vs Angels Preview
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview: Evans' Downfall Continues
I'll be honest, it's hard to watch Logan Evans these days. After a fast start to his career in May, regression has finally set in: he's now recorded an ERA north of six runs since June began.
This has been a long time coming for the 24-year-old rookie, who's appeared overmatched at this level. He was never much of a strikeout guy in the minors, and now he's really struggling in that area with a low clip of just 17%.
Evans has pitched primarily to fly balls, and while that has worked wonders at home to the tune of a 2.60 ERA, he owns a brutal 5.06 ERA on the road.
Evans' .301 Expected Batting Average and .505 Expected Slugging tell the tale of a severely troubled pitcher whose only great strength is his ability to throw strikes. He's also been particularly bad on his sinker ā and he's now started to throw it more in July as well.
As for this offense, it continues to surprise. Seattle ranks second in wRC+ over the last two weeks, held down a bit by a 23.7% strikeout rate but excelling in walking and hitting for power. This will also be a favorable spot given that the Mariners rank eighth against lefties this season.
Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview: Kikuchi Needs to Step Up
The lefty on the hill for the Angels is none other than Yusei Kikuchi, who's been looking a lot like Yusei Kikuchi of late. After a great start to the season, he's stumbled this month to a 4.64 ERA in four outings ā only one of which was against a particularly potent offense.
Kikuchi's past issues have been easily identifiable. While he's managed to run it up in the strikeout column at times, he's also failed to keep the ball in the yard ā or in the strike zone.
His xSLG for the year now stands at .434 ā which is not only well above the league average but right in line with his career numbers ā and his xBA has gone from .238 a year ago to .248 this season ā another number that's missing the league average.
With Kikuchi now trending in the wrong direction once more in the walks column and surrendering a ton of well-hit contact in the air, he'd appear to be minced meat with the trendy Mariners coming to town.
Mariners vs Angels Prediction, Pick
While Evans has been a tough cookie at home this season, the same can be said for Kikuchi ā who's sporting a 1.98 ERA in 10 starts on his turf.
It's a strange one, given the Angels' home park isn't exactly a friendly one when it comes to Park Factor, though that is heavily weighted by home runs. Kikuchi's 14 homers have been evenly distributed across the home/road splits, and it's been the low extra-base hit numbers in Anaheim that have most benefited the lefty.
On the other side of the coin, while Evans may be offered slight reprieve from an overall shellacking, the issues he's had in keeping the ball in the yard could rear their ugly head with L.A. rocking a .187 Isolated Power in the last two weeks.
Both teams have hit the ball equally well, but there's far more to like about Kikuchi here, given his numbers at home and positive stretches at times in 2025.
With a solid .199 xBA in his career against the current Mariners, too, the scale should tip towards the trendy home side.
Pick: Angels ML (-156, DraftKings)
