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Thursday MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Phillies-Orioles and Mariners-Angels

Jul 12, 2018 2:36 PM EDT

Enyel De Los Santos. Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

  • Public MLB bettors are hammering Philadelphia tonight, but the line has fallen away from the Phils, pushing them from a favorite to a dog.
  • Total bets are split on the Mariners-Angels game, but wiseguys have taken a clear side.

Pro players swung and missed on their three Wednesday plays, losing the Reds-Indians Under, Cardinals-White Sox Over and Angels moneyline. It’s been a rough 48-hour stretch for the wiseguys. After a 2-0 Monday, they’ve gone 1-6 in the last two days.

Baseball betting is the most volatile of any sport. The 2,430-game season provides countless ups and downs. While many bettors will abandon a model after a poor recent stretch, experienced wiseguys know to stay the course and ride out the cold spells.

After analyzing Thursday’s 10-game MLB slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed two MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 6:05 p.m. and 10:07 p.m. ET.

Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager.

Full Sports Betting Glossary

Data as of 2:15 p.m. ET. All bets risking one unit, not to win one unit. All plays Listed Pitcher, not Action.

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles (-107) 

6:05 p.m. ET

The Phillies are tied for the seventh-best record in baseball (51-40), while the Orioles own the worst (26-67). Public players see an easy Philly win, but wiseguys are buying low on Baltimore to steal the first game of the series. Baltimore is getting only 32% of bets but 51% of dollars, indicating smart money in their favor.

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