The Chicago Cubs host the Toronto Blue Jays on June 19, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Cubs are favored by -120 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +100 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Cubs Picks: Ben Brown Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-137), Ben Brown Over 1.5 ER (-143), Blue Jays ML (+100)
My Blue Jays vs Cubs best bets are Toronto to win outright, alongside Ben Brown to record the over on his hits allowed and earned runs lines. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -220 | 7 -120o / 100u | +100 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +180 | 7 -120o / 100u | -120 |
- Blue Jays vs Cubs moneyline: Blue Jays +100, Cubs -120
- Blue Jays vs Cubs over/under: 7 (-120o / +100)
- Blue Jays vs Cubs spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-220), Cubs -1.5 (+180)
Blue Jays vs Cubs Probable Pitchers
| RHP Kevin Gausman (TOR) | Stat | RHP Ben Brown (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 3-2 |
| 2.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 3.41/3.25 | ERA / xERA | 1.74/3.12 |
| 3.20/3.50 | FIP / xFIP | 2.35/3.34 |
| 20.1% | K-BB% | 17.3% |
| 38.7% | GB% | 47.2% |
| .271 | BABIP | .250 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 108 | Location+ | 99 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
A seven-run total in Wrigley. That would typically suggest some heavy winds blowing in, but it looks like they're blowing cross-field from left to right for this one. The low total must be more about the quality of the starting pitchers in this one.
The Blue Jays send Kevin Gausman to the hill, who would be considered their ace if not for the new guy in town – Dylan Cease.
Gausman has been pretty ace-like since May 17th. A 2.78 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 27.1% K%, and 5% BB% in these last six starts. The fastball velocity is up:
And he's throwing strikes with the pitch to set up the splitter for the strikeout. He's on a good groove right now, but these never seem to last for Gausman. He's a three-pitch guy, and 90% of this usage goes to the four-seamer and splitter. If the feel for the splitter isn't there, he starts getting hit hard because hitters can sit on his fastball. Big league hitters will hit even good four-seamers if they know that's the pitch that's coming.
But you have to like Gausman's chances of keeping it rolling. Pete Crow-Armstronghas been on a tear, but nobody else has been consistently contributing behind him. The Cubs' team slash line since May 15th: .235/.320/.390. That's a .710 OPS and a .315 xwOBA. They're not a splits-heavy team; they hit righties and lefties about the same.
KEVIN GAUSMAN PROJECTION: 5.2 IP, 5.2 H, 2.5 ER, 5.2 K, 1.4 BB
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
On the other side of this one is breakout starter Ben Brown. Brown began the year in the bullpen but re-entered the rotation after the Matt Boyd injury, and he's clearly been their best starter since that happened. Since he became a starter again, he's thrown 36.1 innings and has given up six earned runs with 37 strikeouts and 11 walks. That's a 1.49 ERA with an 18.3% K-BB%.
But there's some bad news here. He's not able to throw the ball quite as hard since he's been stretched out to 80+ pitches. The curveball usage has dropped a little bit in a few recent starts. Probably just because of the feel of it or just feeling like he had to throw more fastballs to get deeper into the game. That has his Stuff+ dropping, and he has three straight outings with single-digit whiffs.
My "JA ERA" metric has been going the wrong way for Brown:
You see it a lot, with the converted relievers just not able to handle the workload of throwing 80-90 pitches every 5-6 days. His fastballs really aren't very good, which puts him in tough spots when he's behind in the count and/or he doesn't have the command of the curveball to throw it where it needs to be.
BEN BROWN PROJECTION: 5.1 IP, 4.8 H, 2.3 ER, 4.5 K, 1.7 BB
Blue Jays vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis
Both of the pitchers in this one are volatile, with heavy reliance on getting chases and having the feel for that breaking ball.
So who is more likely to slip up? I would say it's Brown. There are a lot of red flags in this profile of late. The Blue Jays are one of two teams with a team K% below 20%. They have the second-highest swing rate in the league at 50.1%. They're hitting .296/.371/.485 against right-handed four-seamers and curveballs, which they'll see a lot of against Brown today.
The bullpen advantage goes handily to Toronto. Check out the rating on our BARTOLO tool, which is available to premium members:
They've got all the big dogs available for this one, and they have some really good relievers back there if you're using the right stats to evaluate them.
I'd like to pick on Brown in this one. The Blue Jays match up well, and it seems to me like the guy is about to fall apart a bit. And I like the Blue Jays because of it. They also seem to have the advantage in the late innings, as we covered.
Picks: Ben Brown Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-137), Ben Brown Over 1.5 ER (-143), Blue Jays ML (+100)
