The Chicago White Sox (59-54) and Boston Red Sox (62-51) meet tonight, with the game set to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Fenway Park in Boston, Mass. The game will be broadcast live on NESN and can be traded on Kalshi.
The Red Sox are favored by -1.5 against the spread, with the over/under set at 8.5 runs (54 cents over / 47 cents under). The Red Sox are the preferred trading option (64 cents), while the White Sox will be looking to pull off an upset (36 cents).
Let's get into my White Sox vs. Red Sox predictions and picks.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Predictions, Odds
White Sox vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers
| RHP Luis Castillo (CHW) | Stat | LHP Ranger Suarez (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | W-L | 4-3 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.3 |
| 5.06/4.82 | ERA / xERA | 3.15/3.40 |
| 4.57/4.55 | FIP / xFIP | 2.54/3.22 |
| 12.2% | K-BB% | 18.8% |
| 36.3% | GB% | 40.8% |
| .299 | BABIP | .309 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 109 | Location+ | 106 |
White Sox vs. Red Sox Pick
White Sox vs. Red Sox Pick: Under 8.5 (47c)
White Sox vs. Red Sox Analysis, Prediction
Among today's biggest edges is the total in White Sox vs. Red Sox, a matchup between two elite, relatively well-rested bullpens — below is just a taste of what you can get with full access to Sean Zerillo's BARTOLO:
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the under total runs for this White Sox vs. Red Sox matchup.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Trade: Under 8.5 (47c, Kalshi)
