It's Thursday, but we have plenty of action with 11 scheduled games. The slate is loaded with great spots to bring you some bangers, so let's proceed.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12:35 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 7:15 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Angels vs Orioles Prediction, Pick
We don't have a huge sample size of Ryan Johnson in the majors, but in his short time, he's been crushed by power, allowing a 1.82 HR/9 to righties and a 2.90 HR/9 to lefties.
While the Angels starter is due for some positive regression, he grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power hitters like Pete Alonso.
The weather should be good for hitting, with temperatures in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 8 mph.
I have the true odds for the Orioles 1B at around +260, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction, Pick
This is a great spot, and these odds are too high.
White Sox SP Luis Castillo isn't the same pitcher he used to be, and this matchup is well above average for lefty power.
This ballpark isn't great for power, but the weather should be a plus for hitting, with temperatures in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 5 mph.
Wilyer Abreu has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball, and I have the true odds for the Red Sox RF at around +300.
Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run
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Marlins vs Braves Prediction, Pick
This is a plus spot, and these odds are too high.
The matchup vs. Marlins starter Janson Junk has historically been below average for righty power, but Junk has allowed above-average homers to righties this season and grades out as a plus matchup.
The weather should be above average for hitting, and Ronald Acuna is due for some large home run positive regression.
I have the true odds for the Braves RF at around +400.
Pick: Ronald Acuna Home Run
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Twins vs Royals Prediction, Pick
Bobby Witt Jr. gets a good spot, and these odds are a bit too high.
Twins SP Bailey Ober is a gas can for power, and while he's been better at suppressing righty power this season, he's historically been a great matchup (1.56 HR/9).
The weather should be around average for hitting, and I have the true odds for the Royals SS at around +320.
Pick: Bobby Witt Jr. Home Run
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