The Tampa Bay Rays host the Toronto Blue Jays on May 6, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Rays are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Rays Pick: Rays ML (play to -165)
My Blue Jays vs Rays best bet is on Tampa Bay to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Rays Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +110 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +164 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -130 |
- Blue Jays vs Rays moneyline: Blue Jays +110, Rays -130
- Blue Jays vs Rays over/under: 7.5 (-115 / -105)
- Blue Jays vs Rays spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-200), Rays -1.5 (+164)
Blue Jays vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| LHP Patrick Corbin (TOR) | Stat | LHP Shan McClanahan (TB) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 3-2 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.65 / 5.71 | ERA / xERA | 3.10 / 3.84 |
| 4.32 / 4.23 | FIP / xFIP | 2.87 / 3.94 |
| 12.7% | K-BB% | 14.0% |
| 38% | GB% | 39.2% |
| .304 | BABIP | .260 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 107 | Location+ | 91 |
Blue Jays vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
The Blue Jays are slowly inching towards a .500 record, despite narrowly dropping Tuesday's clash with the Rays.
On the mound for the Blue Jays is veteran lefty Patrick Corbin. While Corbin didn't break camp with the big club, he got a chance due to injuries in the rotation.
The last time Corbin had an ERA below 4.25 was before COVID — in 2019 with the Nationals. So far, he has a 3.65 ERA with Toronto, but he also has a 5.71 xERA and 4.32 FIP. Corbin hasn't finished a full six innings in any outing, topping out at 5 2/3 and 5 1/3. He also allowed 5+ baserunners in each outing except for against the Angels, where he gave up four.
I'm a bit lukewarm on this Blue Jays lineup. So much went right for them last year, and very little has this year.
Of late, the Blue Jays have hit a bit better, posting a 96 wRC+ since April 20th, good for 18th in MLB. Only three qualified hitters have a wRC+ better than 80 in that span: Kazuma Okamoto, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Ernie Clement.
Okamota has five homers in his last seven games with an OPS over 1.200. The old generation of baseball fans must love what Guerrero Jr. is doing. He's hitting .328 with a 139 wRC+ with just two homers and a .100 ISO. The home run power is stuck in 2025, but Vlad Jr. is still one of the elite hitters in the game.
The issue is the rest of the lineup. George Springer's 2025 looks like an aberration, and the rest of the lineup has real question marks.
That lineup will battle Rays southpaw, Shane McClanahan, who enters this outing in the midst of an 11-inning scoreless streak.
Before this year, McClanhan hadn't pitched since 2023 due to an array of injuries. The long layoff tends to affect command more than overall stuff, and that was the case for McClanahan. He walked 3+ hitters in his first three outings, but walked two total in his last three.
The former All-Star looks like an All-Star yet again. His ERA is a stout 3.10 with a 3.84 xERA and a 2.87 FIP. Good luck taking McClanhan deep, as his HR/9 is a superb 0.31. He'll give up more homers eventually, but this soft-hitting Blue Jays team probably isn't the one to do it.
Blue Jays vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
I talked about the issues with the Blue Jays' lineup, so fair is fair — the Rays have been even worse over their past 14 games, ranking 24th with a 92 wRC+.
Here's what makes this Rays lineup so interesting. They have three big hitters in Junior Caminero, Yandy Diaz, and Jonathan Aranda, who each have a 130 wRC+ or better in that span. The rest of the lineup is contact hitters with speed who'll look to steal and get in scoring position for the big three.
The key? Chandler Simpson. He has zero power, but he's the fastest player in the league. It's hard for him to use his speed when he's hitting just .240, as he has in his last 14 games. The Rays have another gear to tap into when Simpson is getting on base because his speed can turn a single into a triple in two pitches.
I don't get the line here. The Rays are unequivocally a better team than Toronto, with their best pitcher on the mound against one of the worst pitchers in the league over the past five seasons. That tells me the oddsmakers don't buy this Rays' hot run, but I do. Give me Tampa Bay up to -165.
Pick: Rays ML (play to -165)
