The Chicago Cubs host the Washington Nationals on September 7, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MARQ.
Find my MLB betting preview and Nationals vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Nationals vs Cubs Prediction
- Nationals vs Cubs pick: Under 7.5 (-115)
My Nationals vs Cubs best bet is Under 7.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Cubs Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +155 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +115 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -190 |
Nationals vs Cubs Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Andrew Alvarez (WAS) | Stat | LHP Drew Pomeranz (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 0.00 / 1.21 | ERA / xERA | 2.40 / 3.90 |
| 2.74 / 4.27 | FIP / xFIP | 3.58 / 4.02 |
| 0.60 | WHIP | 1.11 |
| 10.5 | K-BB% | 18.1 |
| 53.8 | GB% | 38.9 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 103 | Location+ | 104 |
Nationals vs Cubs Preview
The Nats offense is ranking 25th in wRC+ this season with a 94 rating and hasn't improved at all, sitting at the same position among all MLB teams since August 1st.
So while veteran relief pitcher Drew Pomeranz will start the game, something he has done only three times this season, this Washington offense shouldn't be a challenge for him or the Cubs bullpen, which ranks 12th in ERA this season.
Washington will trust rookie Andrew Alvarez after a fantastic debut. The lefty held the Marlins scoreless through five innings and gave up just one hit while striking out four batters.
Our Bet Labs recommendation is to go with the under, with a weather angle to support it.
The system titled "Wind Whisper Unders" is built for MLB totals where weather and market signals align quietly but consistently toward the under.
It targets regular-season games from 2020 through 2025 where the closing total falls between 7 and 10 runs —a middle range that allows for variance but avoids extremes.
This strategy homes in on games with a specific weather profile: wind blowing from left, in from right, or straight in, with speeds between 3 and 15 miles per hour. Combined with moderate temperatures between 30 and 70, these environmental conditions help suppress deep fly balls without overly skewing the market.
Line movement also plays a role. The total must have dropped by up to 2.5 runs from open to close, signaling steady downward pressure from sharper bettors. Importantly, the public is not fully behind the under—support remains modest, falling between 1 and 55. This indicates market resistance and helps ensure the number isn’t over-adjusted.
By aligning downward line moves, cooling weather patterns, and under-the-radar betting splits, the system consistently identifies games where offense is subtly but significantly less likely to break out.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-115, BetMGM)
Nationals vs Cubs Betting Trends
