Yankees vs Angels Prediction Today (Wednesday, July 19)
Dustin Satloff/Getty Images. Pictured: Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon.
Yankees vs. Angels Odds
-122 / +100
-122 / +100
The third and final installment of this series gets underway Wednesday evening with the AL West's Los Angeles Angels hosting the AL East's New York Yankees.
Los Angeles looks to complete the sweep after winning Monday's contest, 4-3, and securing a 5-1 victory in last night's matchup. Will the Angels take care of business once again, or can the Yankees end the series on a high note?
Here's a look at the odds, as well as my Yankees vs. Angels betting pick and prediction.
Left-hander Carlos Rodon is slated to take the mound for the New York Yankees and could be a solid fade candidate in this matchup. Due to multiple injuries, Rodon didn't make his season debut until this month, but the key offseason acquisition for the Yankees hasn't looked sharp in the limited sample size thus far.
Through two starts, he's 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA. His underlying metrics across those two outings are troubling as well, as he posted a 5.15 xERA and .490 xSLG.
Specifically, we're going to fade Rodon in the strikeout department. While he has been one of the premier strikeout artists in the league over the past two seasons, he has just not shown much promise through his first two starts this year.
Over those two outings, he's posted a mere 18.6 K% and has failed to surpass six strikeouts in either start.
You can find his strikeout prop as high as 6.5 with the under at plus-money, which makes sense considering his long-term profile but short-term struggles.
While the Los Angeles Angels are once again performing as a mid-level ball club and are on the verge of losing perhaps one of the greatest baseball players to ever play the game by the trade deadline, their hitting is certainly not to blame.
Entering this matchup, the Angels rank in the top third of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, SLG, OPS and home runs. They also do a solid job at avoiding the punchout, ranking right around the middle of the league in K% when facing left-handed pitching.
Looking at Wednesday's projected starting lineup, only three of the nine hitters possess a K% north of 23% this year. Even in Mike Trout's absence, this lineup should do a good job of avoiding the strikeout once again.
Yankees vs. Angels Betting Pick
While Rodon is a better pitcher than his two-game sample size this season, Los Angeles is a team he has typically struggled against. Over his past four starts against the Angels, the left-hander is 1-3 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.
Rodon recorded five or fewer strikeouts in three of those four outings. I do believe Rodon will turn the tide sooner rather than later, but until he does, I will gladly fade his strikeout prop at 6.5 at plus-money.