Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - February 23, 2025

Mavericks at Warriors

8:30 pm • ABC

Dallas Mavericks

19-30

102

102 - 126

Golden State Warriors

27-23

126

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 19-30	+7.5	+9.5-108	o228.5-112	+315
Warriors 27-23	u233.5	-9.5-112	u228.5-108	-400

Sunday 8:30 p.m.

February 23, 2025

Chase CenterSan Francisco

K.Irving u5.5 Ast-135

0.5u

Played this last game at plus odds but books have adjusted. You can get this at -135 on DK, and I’m playing on Sleeper. Irving is averaging 4.2 assists over 8.5 assist chances in the month of February. Assuming he sees a similar amount of chances today, he’d need to convert 70% to clear 5.5. Last time he played the Warriors, Golden State held him to 0 assists so let’s hope for a similar outcome.

K.Thompson o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-122

1.22u

K.Irving o2.5 3pt M-125

The Mavericks face off against the Warriors on Sunday and the player I’m targeting is Kyrie Irving. We just saw this matchup before the All-Star Break and Kyrie made 7 3s on 10 attempts against the Warriors. He’s now coming off a 5/12 game against the Pelicans as well. On the season, when he’s played without Luka Doncic, he is averaging 3 per game on 8.2 attempts. He’s had 3+ in 64% of games without Luka. The Warriors are about middle of the road when it comes to defending 3s and I expect Kyrie to continue to fire from beyond the arc.

D.Green u0.5 3pt M+150

0.75u

K.Thompson To Make 5+ Threes Yes+330

0.5u

K.Thompson To Make 6+ Threes Yes+650

0.25u

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 10-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Warriors' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	24-26	14-11	10-15	18-19	6-7
Mavericks	24-25	16-12	8-13	5-11	19-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	30-20	15-10	15-10	25-12	5-8
Mavericks	21-28	13-15	8-13	5-11	16-17

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	27-23	N/A	N/A	22-15	5-8
Mavericks	19-30	N/A	N/A	8-8	11-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 22nd	@SAC	W 132-108	-2 W	O 237	GSW -135
Feb 14th	@HOU	W 105-98	-1.5 W	U 226	GSW -120
Feb 13th	@DAL	L 107-111	-7.5 L	U 234.5	DAL -320
Feb 11th	@MIL	W 125-111	-7.5 W	O 230.5	GSW -277
Feb 9th	@CHI	W 132-111	-6.5 W	O 240.5	GSW -262