Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2025
Nuggets at Thunder
1:30 am • TNTNuggets at Thunder Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets 3-4 | +10.5 | +10-110 | o221.5-112 | +350 |
Thunder 4-3 | u217.5 | -10-110 | u221.5-109 | -450 |

Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Nuggets vs. Thunder Expert Picks
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 23-38-2 (-19.3u)
R.Westbrook o10.5 Pts-112
1.12u
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
1u
L.Dort o8.5 Pts-104
1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 35-37-7 (-0.1u)
M.Porter u11.5 Pts-110
0.5u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+144
0.55u
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.55u
OKC -10-108
1.1u
A.Gordon o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135
0.68u
DEN u104.5 Team Total-105
0.27u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 17-30-0 (+2.7u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.65u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+105
0.3u
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 38-47-1 (-4.9u)
DEN +10-107
0.93u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 39-39-0 (+5.2u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.39u
It’s finally time to join @wheatonbrando
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.75u
LOVE this look @HPBasketball
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 98-97-3 (+18.5u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
2.5u
🐳
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 18-14-0 (+3.6u)
R.Westbrook u3.5 Rebs-125
1.25u
Simply not been his objective like we’ve seen in his past roles. This series, Denver’s using Russ as a POA defender and is often glued to SGA on the top of key in zone and other perimeter threats, where he’s away from the paint, not even looking to grab rebounds. Through four games, he’s averaging just 1.8 rebounds despite bringing high energy, while he’s seeing more overlap being on the court with both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic who handle the glass in the frontcourt.
Also worth calling out the “noise” of that 3 rebound game you’ll see in the box score for Game 4. 2 of those 3 game in the same possesion (4:23 in Q1) where he grabbed two offensive boards off his own missed shot that boosted the line. Strip that out, we’re looking at 1 rebound in 26 minutes. With how locked-in defensively and position wise he is, especially with some banked in OKC positive shot regression, this seems line a tough ask unless the role complete changes. #PlayerProps
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 28-96-0 (-14.2u)
A.Gordon Double-Double (Yes)+450
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG. If your book is close to 10+ reb odds, just play that instead.
L.Dort To Make 3+ Threes Yes+168
0.84u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-145
0.69u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
L.Dort To Make 4+ Threes Yes+450
1.13u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+105
1u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander To Record 8+ Assists Yes+126
0.5u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
L.Dort To Make 2+ Threes Yes-200
0.25u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-110
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 4-8-0 (-3.9u)
DEN +10.5-110
1.36u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 68-78-4 (-25.5u)
Under 220.5-105
2.86u
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 4-5-0 (+0.6u)
OKC -10-111
2.22u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 51-54-1 (+6.8u)
OKC -10-110
1u
A.Gordon o9.5 Rebs+Ast-140
0.5u
L.Dort o2.5 3pt M+140
0.7u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-60-1 (-4.0u)
J.Murray o19.5 Pts-125
0.5u
#BUCKETS
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+110
0.5u
#Tailing @TheBMatt & @wheatonbrando
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.5u
#Tailing @HPBasketball
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+106
1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 42-31-1 (+1.3u)
R.Westbrook u3.5 Rebs-125
1u
Tailing @PropBomb
Topper
Last 30d: 182-149-8 (+25.9u)
OKC -10.5-110
1.1u
Bounce back
Overall: 81-43-1,65% (ROI:27%)
Season:3-1-0,75% (ROI:43%)
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN +6.5 (1H)-105
1u
DEN +275 (1H)
0.99u
DEN +370
0.27u
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-115
1u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast-130
1.3u
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Rebs-110
1.1u
DEN +10-108
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 49-76-1 (-26.4u)
N.Jokic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.95u
Buying a horse
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
0.88u
Dying with you
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC -159 (Live)
0.63u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 82-92-1 (+18.2u)
OKC +3.5 (Live)-115
1u
Over 221.5-105
1.09u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 87-91-4 (-13.8u)
Under 221.5-102
0.98u
Bryan Fonseca
Last 30d: 7-5-0 (+1.7u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o13.5 Rebs+Ast-120
1u
J.Williams o9.5 Rebs+Ast-118
0.85u
New Owner
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-105
0.95u
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-111
1u
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o12.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-140
1.4u
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Jokic o41.5 Pts+Rebs-115
1.09u
Nuggets vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Thunder are 20-20 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Thunder' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Thunder' 42 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries
- Julian StrawtherSG
Strawther is out with knee
Out
- Spencer JonesSF
Jones is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Thunder Injuries
- Nikola TopicPG
Topic is out with back
Out
- Thomas SorberC
Sorber is out with knee
Out
- Otega OwehSG
Oweh is out with achilles
Out
Player Stats
- scoring
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander31ppg - rebounding
Jalen Williams9rpg - assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7apg - shooting
Isaiah Hartenstein70fg%
Team Stats
Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Nuggets at Thunder Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nuggets 3-4 | N/A | N/A |
Thunder 4-3 | N/A | N/A |




