Spurs vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - February 24, 2026

Sell high in my assists model. Potential assist rate way up, conversion rate way up, but pass rate down. Tougher matchup against Pistons where I project the Spurs to have ~3 fewer assists as a team. Proj closer to -130. Only 0.3u because also adding a 2-way parlay that correlates with this as well

The Spurs face off against the Detroit Pistons in a showdown between two of the league’s top teams. While everyone is always looking to Victor Wembanyama to step up in these spots, De’Aaron Fox is another prime target tonight. Fox is averaging 16.6 ppg this season and even though this is a tougher matchup due to Detroit’s overall defense, we have seen other lead ball handlers find success. Jalen Brunson put up 33, and Josh Giddey put up 27 just in the last week. One of the keys is that they are about average defending pick and roll ball handlers and they foul at a high rate. What’s been interesting is that Fox steps up against top defenses. Against top 10 defenses, he is averaging 19.1 ppg this season. He elevates his game and is naturally able to take on a greater offensive load when his teammates may struggle to get their own shots. I expect this to be a tough and competitive game with Fox as a primary scoring option alongside of Wemby.

@JoeDellera ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/NzumwkeMZ0b

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Flipping positions after updating my numbers. Detroit downgraded tonight due to their trip home after an extended road trip.

Buckets live folks got 32.5