Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2026
Timberwolves at Nuggets
2:30 am • NBC/PeacockTimberwolves at Nuggets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves 4-2 | +10.5 | +11.5-114 | o226.5-107 | +390 |
Nuggets 2-4 | u224.5 | -11.5-105 | u226.5-112 | -520 |

Ball ArenaDenver
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 43-43-2 (-0.3u)
Over 224.5-105
1.9u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 26-37-1 (-14.9u)
J.McDaniels o16.5 Pts-120
1.2u
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
1.15u
T.Shannon o4.5 Pts+104
1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 60-60-3 (+1.3u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
0.55u
MIN +11-110
0.55u
Under 222.5-110
0.55u
C.Johnson u3.5 Rebs-158
0.55u
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 6-8-0 (+1.3u)
MIN +11.5-114
5.7u
Under 222-110
5.5u
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 49-56-0 (+3.9u)
N.Jokic o9.5 Ast-105
0.5u
Jokic is absolutely popping as a buy-low in my Pass Mix analysis.
He has just 31 assists through 4 games on 60 potential assists, but he’s due for positive regression in just about every facet. His teammates have been letting him down on conversion rate, passing up shots they normally take, and he also has 8 adjusted assists, which includes potential assists lost to shooting fouls or hockey-style assists.
So it’s not just one area running cold, it’s multiple.
The Nuggets themselves are due for roughly 3 more assists tonight as a team, and a big chunk of that naturally flows through Jokic.
That makes this the ultimate buy-low on a guy who probably gets over money in 90%+ of games. This is one of the rare spots where the public may lean under (more than normal), or just stay away entirely, which makes it even more interesting.
I have him projected closer to 10.4 assists with around a 59% chance to clear 9.5, and it shapes up as one of the better buy-low spots you’ll get on Jokic.
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (+5.3u)
T.Shannon To Score 5+ Points Yes+176
1.76u
T.Shannon To Score 10+ Points Yes+750
1.88u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 231-233-2 (+7.7u)
DEN -6.5 (1H)-112
$1.00
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 49-48-1 (+1.7u)
DEN -11.5+108
1.08u
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 117-188-3 (-2.6u)
MIN -10.5+1100
0.1u
N.Reid o13.5 Pts-104
0.26u
N.Jokic o9.5 Ast-105
0.25u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 222.5-110
1u
Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy
DEN -10.5-110
0.91u
Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 41-37-0 (+16.0u)
MIN -10.5+1200
0.1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 107-107-4 (+17.4u)
MIN +11.5-110
1.1u
B.Hyland o10.5 Pts-112
1u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 38-105-1 (-1.6u)
T.Shannon To Score 10+ Points Yes+850
5.95u
Wolves need 96’ guards + some F time. Ayo 38 Bones/Conley 20 each still leaves 20-25 for Shannon wit garbage time upside. He can score if he gets on the court and Minn needs to find offense now and may have to play him. Not a median play cuz he might just fizzle. 17ppg with 25+ min, DD pts 9g this yr. Take the home run swing. Odds at FD & MGM.
T.Shannon o4.5 Pts+176
0.7u
Wolves need 96’ guards + some F time. Ayo 38 Bones/Conley 20 each still leaves 20-25 for Shannon wit garbage time upside. He can score if he gets on the court and Minn needs to find offense now and may have to play him. Not a median play cuz he might just fizzle. 17ppg with 25+ min, DD pts 9g this yr. Take the home run swing. Odds at FD & MGM.
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 62-61-1 (-3.8u)
J.Murray o26.5 Pts-111
1.11u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 157-148-8 (+15.5u)
J.McDaniels o16.5 Pts-110
1.1u
M.Conley o3.5 Ast-110
1u
A.Dosunmu o24.5 Pts+Rebs-118
1.18u
M.Conley To Record 7+ Assists Yes+700
0.25u
M.Conley To Record 6+ Assists Yes+350
0.5u
M.Conley To Record 8+ Assists Yes+1300
0.15u
M.Conley To Record 9+ Assists Yes+2500
0.05u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 74-81-4 (-14.9u)
DEN -11.5+106
3.18u
Under 221.5-102
3u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 57-65-2 (+4.4u)
DEN -10.5-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 20-61-1 (-5.9u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
0.58u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Topper
Last 30d: 121-108-5 (+10.6u)
J.McDaniels o4.5 Rebs-125
0.7u
#EV 4.46%
Pinny -162
BM -160
FD -162
BO -147
A.Gordon o9.5 Pts-122
0.71u
#EV 4.64%
Pinny -156
BM -156
B.Brown u3.5 Rebs+115
0.55u
#EV 4.42%
Pinny -105
BO -105
DEN -4.5 (1Q)+107
0.62u
#EV 2.46%
Pinny -108
BM -105
C.Johnson u3.5 Rebs-115
1.67u
#EV 11.64%
Pinny -170
BO -159
DEN -11.5+100
0.62u
#EV 2.49%
Pinny -118
Circa -110
BO -115
N.Reid o13.5 Pts+120
0.78u
#EV 7.44%
Circa -110
BO -108
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 62-66-0 (-7.6u)
Over 222.5-110
0.91u
Points pls
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 92-108-1 (+12.7u)
DEN u118.5-108
1.08u
Buckets Podcast
Last 30d: 26-27-0 (+1.6u)
MIN -10.5+1200
0.25u
@TurveyBets https://myaction.app/VquUpo7hG2b
C.Johnson u3.5 Rebs-140
1u
@HPBasketball https://myaction.app/VquUpo7hG2b
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-110
1u
@JoeDellera https://myaction.app/VquUpo7hG2b
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 254-237-4 (+11.3u)
Over 224.5-105
1.19u
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nuggets are 24-17 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Nuggets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44-38 | 20-21 | 24-17 | 25-31 | 19-7 | |
| 37-45 | 18-23 | 19-22 | 26-34 | 11-11 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51-30-1 | 22-18-1 | 29-12 | 36-20 | 15-10-1 | |
| 38-44 | 14-27 | 24-17 | 26-34 | 12-10 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | N/A | N/A | 40-16 | 14-12 | |
| 6-6 | N/A | N/A | 41-19 | 8-14 |
Last 5 Matchups
Player Stats
- scoring
Nikola Jokic27ppg - rebounding
Nikola Jokic12rpg - assists
Nikola Jokic16apg - shooting
-100fg%
Team Stats
41-81 (51%)
Field Goals
47-83 (57%)
19-23 (83%)
Free Throws
20-25 (80%)
12-28 (43%)
3P
11-29 (38%)
38
Rebounds
29
26
Assists
35
Turnovers
6
Steals
16
2
Blocks
6
27
Fouls
29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison
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Timberwolves at Nuggets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Timberwolves 4-2 | N/A | N/A |
Nuggets 2-4 | N/A | N/A |






