Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2026

Timberwolves at Nuggets

2:30 am • NBC/Peacock
113 - 125

Timberwolves at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves
4-2
+10.5
+11.5-114
o226.5-107
+390
Nuggets
2-4
u224.5
-11.5-105
u226.5-112
-520
location pinTuesday 2:30 a.m.
April 28, 2026
Ball ArenaDenver
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 43-43-2 (-0.3u)
Over 224.5-105
1.9u
J.McDaniels o16.5 Pts-120
1.2u
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
1.15u
T.Shannon o4.5 Pts+104
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 60-60-3 (+1.3u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
0.55u
MIN +11-110
0.55u
Under 222.5-110
0.55u
C.Johnson u3.5 Rebs-158
0.55u
Tyler Shoemaker
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 6-8-0 (+1.3u)
MIN +11.5-114
5.7u
Under 222-110
5.5u
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 49-56-0 (+3.9u)
N.Jokic o9.5 Ast-105
0.5u
Jokic is absolutely popping as a buy-low in my Pass Mix analysis. He has just 31 assists through 4 games on 60 potential assists, but he’s due for positive regression in just about every facet. His teammates have been letting him down on conversion rate, passing up shots they normally take, and he also has 8 adjusted assists, which includes potential assists lost to shooting fouls or hockey-style assists. So it’s not just one area running cold, it’s multiple. The Nuggets themselves are due for roughly 3 more assists tonight as a team, and a big chunk of that naturally flows through Jokic. That makes this the ultimate buy-low on a guy who probably gets over money in 90%+ of games. This is one of the rare spots where the public may lean under (more than normal), or just stay away entirely, which makes it even more interesting. I have him projected closer to 10.4 assists with around a 59% chance to clear 9.5, and it shapes up as one of the better buy-low spots you’ll get on Jokic.
T.Shannon To Score 5+ Points Yes+176
1.76u
T.Shannon To Score 10+ Points Yes+750
1.88u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 231-233-2 (+7.7u)
DEN -6.5 (1H)-112
$1.00
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 49-48-1 (+1.7u)
DEN -11.5+108
1.08u
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 117-188-3 (-2.6u)
MIN -10.5+1100
0.1u
N.Reid o13.5 Pts-104
0.26u
N.Jokic o9.5 Ast-105
0.25u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 222.5-110
1u
Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy
DEN -10.5-110
0.91u
Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 41-37-0 (+16.0u)
MIN -10.5+1200
0.1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 107-107-4 (+17.4u)
MIN +11.5-110
1.1u
B.Hyland o10.5 Pts-112
1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 38-105-1 (-1.6u)
T.Shannon To Score 10+ Points Yes+850
5.95u
Wolves need 96’ guards + some F time. Ayo 38 Bones/Conley 20 each still leaves 20-25 for Shannon wit garbage time upside. He can score if he gets on the court and Minn needs to find offense now and may have to play him. Not a median play cuz he might just fizzle. 17ppg with 25+ min, DD pts 9g this yr. Take the home run swing. Odds at FD & MGM.
T.Shannon o4.5 Pts+176
0.7u
Wolves need 96’ guards + some F time. Ayo 38 Bones/Conley 20 each still leaves 20-25 for Shannon wit garbage time upside. He can score if he gets on the court and Minn needs to find offense now and may have to play him. Not a median play cuz he might just fizzle. 17ppg with 25+ min, DD pts 9g this yr. Take the home run swing. Odds at FD & MGM.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 62-61-1 (-3.8u)
J.Murray o26.5 Pts-111
1.11u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 157-148-8 (+15.5u)
J.McDaniels o16.5 Pts-110
1.1u
M.Conley o3.5 Ast-110
1u
A.Dosunmu o24.5 Pts+Rebs-118
1.18u
M.Conley To Record 7+ Assists Yes+700
0.25u
M.Conley To Record 6+ Assists Yes+350
0.5u
M.Conley To Record 8+ Assists Yes+1300
0.15u
M.Conley To Record 9+ Assists Yes+2500
0.05u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 74-81-4 (-14.9u)
DEN -11.5+106
3.18u
Under 221.5-102
3u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 57-65-2 (+4.4u)
DEN -10.5-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 20-61-1 (-5.9u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
0.58u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 121-108-5 (+10.6u)
J.McDaniels o4.5 Rebs-125
0.7u
#EV 4.46% Pinny -162 BM -160 FD -162 BO -147
A.Gordon o9.5 Pts-122
0.71u
#EV 4.64% Pinny -156 BM -156
B.Brown u3.5 Rebs+115
0.55u
#EV 4.42% Pinny -105 BO -105
DEN -4.5 (1Q)+107
0.62u
#EV 2.46% Pinny -108 BM -105
C.Johnson u3.5 Rebs-115
1.67u
#EV 11.64% Pinny -170 BO -159
DEN -11.5+100
0.62u
#EV 2.49% Pinny -118 Circa -110 BO -115
N.Reid o13.5 Pts+120
0.78u
#EV 7.44% Circa -110 BO -108
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 62-66-0 (-7.6u)
Over 222.5-110
0.91u
Points pls
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 92-108-1 (+12.7u)
DEN u118.5-108
1.08u
Buckets Podcast
Buckets Podcast
Last 30d: 26-27-0 (+1.6u)
MIN -10.5+1200
0.25u
C.Johnson u3.5 Rebs-140
1u
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-110
1u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 254-237-4 (+11.3u)
Over 224.5-105
1.19u

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Timberwolves

Public

59%

Bets%

41%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets
44-3820-2124-1725-3119-7
Timberwolves
37-4518-2319-2226-3411-11

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nuggets
51-30-122-18-129-1236-2015-10-1
Timberwolves
38-4414-2724-1726-3412-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets
2-4N/AN/A40-1614-12
Timberwolves
6-6N/AN/A41-198-14

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 26th@MINL 96-112-1.5 LU 228.5MIN -125
Apr 24th@MINL 96-113+1.5 LU 232MIN +100
Apr 21stMINL 114-119-7.5 LO 232.5MIN -298
Apr 18thMINW 116-105-7.5 WU 232.5DEN -290
Apr 13th@SASW 128-118+10 WO 235DEN +350
Player Stats
  • scoring
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    27
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    12
    rpg
  • assists
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    16
    apg
  • shooting
    player logo
    -
    100
    fg%
Team Stats
41-81 (51%)
Field Goals
47-83 (57%)
19-23 (83%)
Free Throws
20-25 (80%)
12-28 (43%)
3P
11-29 (38%)
38
Rebounds
29
26
Assists
35
Turnovers
6
Steals
16
2
Blocks
6
27
Fouls
29

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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Timberwolves at Nuggets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Timberwolves
4-2
N/A
N/A
Nuggets
2-4
N/A
N/A