The NBA Props article offers data-driven analysis on player prop bets for each day’s slate using The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights to highlight notable props. Analysis will be provided on the following three props:


  • LeBron James over/under 11 rebounds, Cleveland vs. Indiana (7 p.m. ET).
  • Jimmy Butler over/under 22 points, Minnesota at Houston (9:30 p.m. ET).
  • Taj Gibson over/under 8.5 points, Minnesota at Houston (9:30 p.m. ET).

All lines accurate as of 4:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 25. Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.


LeBron James Over 11 Rebounds (-115)

7 p.m. ET | TNT

While it gets more and more difficult to bring yourself to back LeBron’s team with every passing minute that Jose Calderon or Tristan Thompson plays in this series, it’s difficult not to bet on LeBron as an individual performer in the playoffs. If 12 rebounds sounds like a lot, it is — it just hasn’t been for LeBron lately. It’s hard to find another prop on the board where a) the player in question would have been over the current prop in each of his past three games, and (b) the player would have been under by just one in the game before that. In fact, this prop would be 5-2-2 over LeBron’s last nine postseason games dating back to the 2016-17 season.

LeBron has flipped on his switch to average 11.8 rebounds per game in this series and has spent over 75% of his team’s offensive possessions being guarded by either Bojan Bogdanovic or Lance Stephenson, both of whom would give up at least 20 pounds to LeBron if he still really weighed “250.” Add all that to the fact the majority of money is on the under in this game despite the majority of tickets coming in on the over, and you have a recipe for another 12-plus rebound day for one of the main drivers of the city of Cleveland’s economy. And if you’re backing the Cavs to win this game, note that during the regular season LeBron averaged 1.6 more rebounds per game in wins than in losses while the Pacers allowed 4.3 more rebounds per game in losses than in wins.



Unlock this article + all the EDGE benefits


Already an EDGE member? Sign In

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Chris Raybon on Twitter