The Milwaukee Bucks (6-4) and Dallas Mavericks (3-7) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on KFAA.
The Bucks are 2-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Bucks -2), with the over/under set at 229.5 total points. Milwaukee is a -130 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Dallas is +110 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Bucks vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Monday, November 10.
My Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction
- Bucks vs Mavericks pick: Under 229.5 (-110)
My Mavericks vs Bucks best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Bucks vs Mavericks Odds
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2 -110 | 229.5 -110 / -110 | -130 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2 -110 | 229.5 -110 / -110 | +110 |
Bucks vs Mavericks NBA Preview, Predictions
For some reason, the total for this game was steamed up to 231.5 on Sunday night when I bet it on our Buckets podcast.
Now, reason and logic have come back in to play, and it’s back down to 229.
The Mavericks are the 2nd-worst half-court offense in the league, behind only the Pacers, who are missing what feels like three-fourths of their roster; they simply cannot score.
Dallas has gone over their team total once this season, against the Raptors in an outlier game during a Texas road trip for Toronto.
Anthony Davis has been upgraded to questionable.
So, the question is, if Davis raises the offense so much to push this over if he plays.
Davis is not a hub, he can’t make the other players better beyond just drawing defenders.
It’s a back-to-back, so Giannis might sit.
But here’s a secret: the Bucks’ halfcourt defense has actually been better with Giannis on the bench.
Now, that’s against bench units, but it proves the Bucks’ defense is fundamentally sound, if not amazing.
You do not have to be amazing to limit the Mavericks.
On the other side, some trends:
- Since 2021, Doc Rivers teams are 15-8 to the under on road back-to-backs.
- 6-2 to the under with Milwaukee.
- Under Rivers, when the Bucks are playing a worse offense than them (fewer points per game than Milwaukee) on the road, the under is 21-14-2 (60%).
I will keep hammering Mavericks' unders until they consistently prove the trend wrong.
Bucks vs Mavericks Best bet
- Under 229.5 (-110)
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
My Mavericks vs Bucks betting prediction is on the under at 229.5 total points.
Mavericks vs Bucks Betting Trends
