Bulls vs. Warriors NBA Betting Odds & Pick: Bet Chicago to Cover on the Road
Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Zach Lavine #8 and DeMar Derozan #11 of the Chicago Bulls.
- The Golden State Warriors are favored over the Chicago Bulls on Friday night.
- The Warriors have been a dominant home team, but the Bulls have been scrappy on the road.
- Corey Parson breaks down the matchup and makes his betting pick below.
Bulls vs. Warriors Odds
|Time||10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.|
The Bulls are coming off a tough loss against the Phoenix Suns Wednesday while the Warriors are looking for their ninth straight home win. Will Golden State maintain its dominant presence at home?
Let’s take a look at how both side matchup in Bulls vs. Warriors.
Bulls Limping Into the Bay Area
The game wasn’t even close; the Bulls never led and were down by as much as 27 points and let Devin Booker score 51 points in just three quarters. That nasty loss coupled with the Warriors’ outstanding home record has about 80% of the money and tickets (you can find public betting percentages here) on this game backing the Warriors at most shops.
Whenever betting is that lopsided, you should do some further investigating before backing such a public side. For example the Bulls are 6-5 against the spread on the road this season and 6-3 ATS as road underdogs. Those three ATS losses were all by double digits, but the Bulls, for the most part, have been in every road game as a dog this season.
Warriors Home Record Is Slightly Misleading
The Warriors were dealing with a championship hangover to start the season. After 10 games they were only 3-7, including 0-5 on a road trip against the Charlotte Hornets, Orlando Magic, Detroit Pistons, Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans. But this game is in San Francisco where they have been pretty close to unbeatable.
The Warriors are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS (fifth-best in the NBA) at Chase Center so far this season. They are currently on an eight-game home winning streak. Why would anyone bet against them while they are this hot?
Well, when you look at those wins they came against the Jazz, Los Angeles Clippers (no Kawhi Leonard or Paul George), New York Knicks, San Antonio Spurs, Heat and L.A. Lakers. They also had close wins over the Sacramento Kings and Cleveland Cavaliers; they were 1-2 ATS in those games.
The Warriors haven’t had the same intensity on defense this season, they are tied for 19th in Defensive Rating this season, according to Cleaning the Glass. And while they have shown improvement in recent games, they are just 0.1 points better than the Bulls over the past two weeks. The Warriors are the better team, but they will get pushed by a competitive Bulls team tonight.
Despite the Warriors dominant home record I’m going to fade them and the public and take the 7.5 points with the Chicago Bulls.
This season, the Bulls are 5-2 ATS when the spread closes at two possessions or higher, according to Bet Labs. The three previous times the Bulls were 7.5-point dogs, they covered all three games. The Warriors may very well keep their winning streak intact, but the Bulls will cover.
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