The Golden State Warriors (0-2) and Phoenix Suns (0-1) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Suns are 9.5-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread, with the over/under set at 219.5 total points. The Suns are -370 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Warriors are listed as +290 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, October 24.
Warriors vs Suns Prediction
- Warriors vs Suns pick: Yaxel Lendeborg Under 17.5 Points (-125, bet365)
My Warriors vs Suns best bet is on Yaxel Lendeborg to go under his points total, with the best price currently available at bet365. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Warriors vs Suns Odds
- Warriors vs Suns spread: Suns -9.5 (-112), Warriors +9.5 (-108)
- Warriors vs Suns over/under: 219.5 (-109o / -111u)
- Warriors vs Suns moneyline: Warriors +290, Suns -370
Warriors vs Suns NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors travel to Phoenix to face the Suns on Saturday night at Footprint Center, looking for their first win of the regular season following a 0-2 start.
The Warriors opened their campaign with a 127-105 road loss to the Lakers before falling 111-108 to the Grizzlies at home on Friday.
Phoenix (0-1) enters as 9.5-point home favorites, while Golden State plays on the second night of a back-to-back.
With high-volume rotation minutes being distributed to rookie forward Yaxel Lendeborg early in the season—37 minutes against Memphis on Friday night after 29 minutes in the opener—the Warriors continue to integrate their 11th-overall pick into regular-season pacing.
Warriors vs Suns Pick, Betting Analysis
Golden State rookie Yaxel Lendeborg has shown flashes of offensive aggression early, scoring 18 points on 4-of-11 shooting from the field (9-of-12 FTs) in Friday’s loss to Memphis after posting 12 points on 5-of-11 shooting in the season opener against Los Angeles.
Across his two regular-season outings, Lendeborg is averaging 15.0 points per game while shooting 40.9% from the field and 28.6% from 3-point range.
Despite a line set at 17.5 points, our PRO Projections pinpoint Lendeborg’s expected scoring output at just 12.91 points, creating a massive 34% edge on the Under.
Lendeborg scored half of his 18 points against Memphis from the charity stripe (9-of-12 FT) while taking just 11 shots from the field. Relying on double-digit free-throw attempts to clear a high-scoring prop is unsustainable, especially on the road.
He logged 37 grueling minutes against the Grizzlies on Friday night. On the second night of a back-to-back, high-minute workloads for young players often contract due to fatigue or early-season conditioning limits.
Lendeborg has converted just 9-of-22 (40.9%) field goals and 2-of-7 (28.6%) 3-pointers through two games. Without elite usage or ultra-efficient field-goal conversion, reaching 18+ points requires volume he is unlikely to get against a rested Phoenix defense.
Back our PRO Tool's 34% projection edge and take Yaxel Lendeborg Under 17.5 Points.
Pick: Yaxel Lendeborg Under 17.5 Points (-125, bet365)
